SEASeahawks
8-6
21
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
012
DALCowboys
8-6
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
7
1
7
15
Cowboys
0
9
3
0
12
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
136
282
Total Plays
54
68
Yards / Play
2.5
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.23
Passing Yards
60
154
Comp/Att
14/21(67%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
2.9
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.54
Rushing Yards
76
128
Rush Attempts
30
30
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
7
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
36%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-16.83
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-33
-27
Sack EPA
-5.00
-4.57
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
142
75
Penalty EPA
+0.56
-8.84
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+53
Home nfelo
1,546
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+45.9
Base HFA
+55.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.0
Net QB Adjustment
-15.6
Home QB Adjustment
-4.8
Away QB Adjustment
+10.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+10.9
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-4.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
9
Yards / Game
15
6
Passing Yards / Game
9
1
Rushing Yards / Game
23
8
EPA
EPA / Play
19
16
EPA / Pass
13
20
EPA / Rush
24
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
22
Interceptions / Game
13
25
Fumbles / Game
7
14
Turnover EPA / Game
25
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
29
4th Down Efficiency
7
6
RZ Efficiency
12
22
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
9
Yards / Game
14
11
Passing Yards / Game
27
9
Rushing Yards / Game
2
20
EPA
EPA / Play
10
8
EPA / Pass
19
6
EPA / Rush
1
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
10
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
19
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
16
4th Down Efficiency
11
15
RZ Efficiency
7
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U