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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cowboys week 16, 2017

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
8-6
21
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0
12
DALCowboys
8-6
DAL logo
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
7
1
7
15
Cowboys
0
9
3
0
12

Spread

SEA logo
+4.5

Total

UNDER
47

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
136
282
Total Plays
54
68
Yards / Play
2.5
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.23
Passing Yards
60
154
Comp/Att
14/21(67%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
2.9
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.54
Rushing Yards
76
128
Rush Attempts
30
30
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
7
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
36%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-16.83
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-33
-27
Sack EPA
-5.00
-4.57
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
142
75
Penalty EPA
+0.56
-8.84

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5

Win Probability

Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+54
Home nfelo
1,542
Away nfelo
1,520
Home Field
+46.5
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.1
Net QB Adjustment
-15.6
Home QB Adjustment
-4.8
Away QB Adjustment
+10.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+10.9
Value
Ptile
10/08
-3.1
30
10/22
8.4
94
10/29
10.7
98
11/05
2.2
68
11/09
0.3
54
11/20
6.7
90
11/26
3.3
76
12/03
5.7
87
12/10
2.4
69
12/17
-7.3
11
R. Prescott headshot

R. Prescott

Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
-4.8
Value
Ptile
10/08
7.9
93
10/22
8.1
94
10/29
-3.3
29
11/05
7.0
90
11/12
-4.9
20
11/19
-11.6
1
11/23
-4.1
24
11/30
-1.0
45
12/10
7.7
93
12/17
-2.3
37

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Seahawks logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
12
9
Yards / Game
15
6
Passing Yards / Game
9
1
Rushing Yards / Game
23
8

EPA

EPA / Play
19
16
EPA / Pass
13
20
EPA / Rush
24
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
22
Interceptions / Game
13
25
Fumbles / Game
7
14
Turnover EPA / Game
25
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
29
4th Down Efficiency
7
6
RZ Efficiency
12
22
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cowboys logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
14
9
Yards / Game
14
11
Passing Yards / Game
27
9
Rushing Yards / Game
2
20

EPA

EPA / Play
10
8
EPA / Pass
19
6
EPA / Rush
1
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
10
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
19
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
16
4th Down Efficiency
11
15
RZ Efficiency
7
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/08
6
W
W
U
10/22
17
W
W
U
10/29
3
W
L
O
11/05
-3
L
L
U
11/09
6
W
P
U
11/20
-3
L
L
O
11/26
11
W
W
U
12/03
14
W
W
U
12/10
-6
L
L
O
12/17
-35
L
L
O
DAL logo

Cowboys

6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/08
-4
L
L
O
10/22
30
W
W
O
10/29
14
W
W
O
11/05
11
W
W
U
11/12
-20
L
L
U
11/19
-28
L
L
U
11/23
-22
L
L
U
11/30
24
W
W
O
12/10
20
W
W
U
12/17
3
W
P
U