SEASeahawks
3-0
31
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
13 mph
23
MIADolphins
1-2
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
10
7
0
14
31
Dolphins
3
6
3
11
23
Spread
-4.5
Total
UNDER
55
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
441
417
Total Plays
62
69
Yards / Play
7.1
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.27
+0.10
Passing Yards
343
314
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
29/46(63%)
Yards / Pass
10.1
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.32
+0.08
Rushing Yards
98
103
Rush Attempts
26
22
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
25
Passing 1st downs
17
17
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
40%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.21
-9.41
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-17
-3
Sack EPA
-4.97
-0.70
Penalties
--
3
Penalty Yards
--
20
Penalty EPA
--
-4.09
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model73.8%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-4.5
Expected Value
+16.9%
Cover Probability
61.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-228
Home nfelo
1,385
Away nfelo
1,611
Home Field
+11.8
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-13.8
Home QB Adjustment
+16.0
Away QB Adjustment
+29.8
Market Regression
+12.3
Final Difference
-179.6
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+29.8
R. Fitzpatrick
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+16.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
4
Yards / Game
18
19
Passing Yards / Game
7
28
Rushing Yards / Game
12
16
EPA
EPA / Play
6
5
EPA / Pass
12
3
EPA / Rush
7
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
18
Interceptions / Game
22
1
Fumbles / Game
2
3
Turnover EPA / Game
14
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
1
4th Down Efficiency
18
9
RZ Efficiency
3
7
Dolphins Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
16
Yards / Game
23
22
Passing Yards / Game
17
31
Rushing Yards / Game
21
5
EPA
EPA / Play
17
14
EPA / Pass
17
22
EPA / Rush
25
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
12
17
Turnover EPA / Game
16
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
2
4
RZ Efficiency
16
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Dolphins
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U