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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ eagles week 12, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
7-3
23
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
16 mph
17
PHIEagles
3-6
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
16 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
14
3
6
23
Eagles
0
6
3
8
17

Spread

PHI logo
+6.5

Total

UNDER
50

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
301
252
Total Plays
63
67
Yards / Play
4.8
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.16
Passing Yards
225
180
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
26/46(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
3.9
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.29
Rushing Yards
76
72
Rush Attempts
30
15
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
20%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.66
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-5
-41
Sack EPA
-4.42
-8.48
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
83
79
Penalty EPA
-7.10
-7.89

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market71.4%
Model70.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-124
Home nfelo
1,475
Away nfelo
1,567
Home Field
+5.1
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-37.7
Home QB Adjustment
-25.8
Away QB Adjustment
+11.9
Market Regression
-16.9
Final Difference
-151.8
Model Spread
+6.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+11.9
Value
Ptile
09/13
11.0
97
09/20
10.8
97
09/27
6.8
88
10/04
2.1
59
10/11
2.2
61
10/25
6.8
87
11/01
7.8
91
11/08
1.9
58
11/15
-5.8
12
11/19
1.8
57
C. Wentz headshot

C. Wentz

Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-25.8
Value
Ptile
09/13
-9.9
3
09/20
-0.8
38
09/27
0.0
46
10/04
-0.3
44
10/11
-4.1
18
10/18
0.4
49
10/22
2.1
60
11/01
-8.9
5
11/15
-5.4
14
11/22
-6.8
9

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Seahawks logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
7
20
Yards / Game
18
17
Passing Yards / Game
7
29
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22

EPA

EPA / Play
6
12
EPA / Pass
12
15
EPA / Rush
7
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
1
Interceptions / Game
22
29
Fumbles / Game
2
6
Turnover EPA / Game
14
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
8
4th Down Efficiency
18
3
RZ Efficiency
3
28
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Eagles logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
26
16
Yards / Game
25
22
Passing Yards / Game
23
31
Rushing Yards / Game
10
5

EPA

EPA / Play
29
14
EPA / Pass
31
22
EPA / Rush
14
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
4
Interceptions / Game
31
14
Fumbles / Game
23
17
Turnover EPA / Game
5
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
26
4th Down Efficiency
26
4
RZ Efficiency
13
18

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/13
13
W
W
O
09/20
5
W
W
O
09/27
7
W
W
O
10/04
8
W
W
U
10/11
1
W
L
U
10/25
-3
L
L
O
11/01
10
W
W
O
11/08
-10
L
L
O
11/15
-7
L
L
U
11/19
7
W
W
U
PHI logo

Eagles

3-6-1
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/13
-10
L
L
O
09/20
-18
L
L
O
09/27
0
T
L
U
10/04
5
W
W
U
10/11
-9
L
L
O
10/18
-2
L
W
O
10/22
1
W
L
U
11/01
14
W
W
U
11/15
-10
L
L
U
11/22
-5
L
L
U