SEASeahawks
7-3
23
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
16 mph
17
PHIEagles
3-6
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
14
3
6
23
Eagles
0
6
3
8
17
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
50
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
301
252
Total Plays
63
67
Yards / Play
4.8
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.16
Passing Yards
225
180
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
26/46(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
3.9
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.29
Rushing Yards
76
72
Rush Attempts
30
15
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
20%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.66
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-5
-41
Sack EPA
-4.42
-8.48
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
83
79
Penalty EPA
-7.10
-7.89
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model70.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-124
Home nfelo
1,475
Away nfelo
1,567
Home Field
+5.1
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-37.7
Home QB Adjustment
-25.8
Away QB Adjustment
+11.9
Market Regression
-16.9
Final Difference
-151.8
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+11.9
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-25.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
20
Yards / Game
18
17
Passing Yards / Game
7
29
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22
EPA
EPA / Play
6
12
EPA / Pass
12
15
EPA / Rush
7
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
1
Interceptions / Game
22
29
Fumbles / Game
2
6
Turnover EPA / Game
14
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
8
4th Down Efficiency
18
3
RZ Efficiency
3
28
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
16
Yards / Game
25
22
Passing Yards / Game
23
31
Rushing Yards / Game
10
5
EPA
EPA / Play
29
14
EPA / Pass
31
22
EPA / Rush
14
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
4
Interceptions / Game
31
14
Fumbles / Game
23
17
Turnover EPA / Game
5
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
26
4th Down Efficiency
26
4
RZ Efficiency
13
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
3-6-1
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U