SEASeahawks
0-1
17
TBD
Lambeau Field
62°F
9 mph
27
GBPackers
1-0
TBD
Lambeau Field
62°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
0
14
0
17
Packers
10
3
3
11
27
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
324
363
Total Plays
57
65
Yards / Play
5.7
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.11
Passing Yards
205
236
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.19
Rushing Yards
119
127
Rush Attempts
25
29
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
21
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
33%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
9
11
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.07
-4.85
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-1
-15
Sack EPA
-1.93
-2.54
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
92
35
Penalty EPA
-6.93
-4.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+47
Home nfelo
1,592
Away nfelo
1,624
Home Field
+61.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+16.9
Home QB Adjustment
+17.9
Away QB Adjustment
+1.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.0
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+17.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
11
Yards / Game
8
17
Passing Yards / Game
18
8
Rushing Yards / Game
3
19
EPA
EPA / Play
3
13
EPA / Pass
1
7
EPA / Rush
12
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
10
Interceptions / Game
7
8
Fumbles / Game
5
28
Turnover EPA / Game
27
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
8
4th Down Efficiency
1
14
RZ Efficiency
15
13
Packers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
3
Yards / Game
22
1
Passing Yards / Game
16
6
Rushing Yards / Game
9
3
EPA
EPA / Play
10
8
EPA / Pass
18
6
EPA / Rush
8
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
5
Interceptions / Game
2
19
Fumbles / Game
10
14
Turnover EPA / Game
26
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
7
4th Down Efficiency
10
2
RZ Efficiency
16
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U