SEASeahawks
12-5
23
TBD
Lambeau Field
23°F
8 mph
28
GBPackers
13-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
23°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
0
14
6
23
Packers
7
14
7
0
28
Spread
-4.5
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
375
344
Total Plays
61
59
Yards / Play
6.1
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.22
Passing Yards
265
235
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.48
Rushing Yards
110
109
Rush Attempts
24
30
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
22
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
33%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
9
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-12
-8
Sack EPA
-4.55
-2.62
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
47
30
Penalty EPA
-6.56
-4.08
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+66
Home nfelo
1,579
Away nfelo
1,569
Home Field
+58.5
Base HFA
+45.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+13.1
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.0
Time Adj
-16.4
Net QB Adjustment
-9.3
Home QB Adjustment
-11.6
Away QB Adjustment
-2.4
Market Regression
+27.3
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-2.4
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+2.1
Team Elo Adj
-11.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
12
Yards / Game
6
18
Passing Yards / Game
10
8
Rushing Yards / Game
6
26
EPA
EPA / Play
9
18
EPA / Pass
7
8
EPA / Rush
19
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
20
Interceptions / Game
1
5
Fumbles / Game
31
20
Turnover EPA / Game
20
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
13
4th Down Efficiency
10
15
RZ Efficiency
7
11
Packers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
19
Yards / Game
17
23
Passing Yards / Game
13
7
Rushing Yards / Game
15
22
EPA
EPA / Play
7
19
EPA / Pass
10
18
EPA / Rush
9
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
9
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
10
4
Turnover EPA / Game
31
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
18
4th Down Efficiency
8
20
RZ Efficiency
2
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U