SEASeahawks
-
31
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
034
LARRams
-
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
1
3
3
12
0
19
Rams
0
10
8
7
3
28
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
345
352
Total Plays
80
55
Yards / Play
4.3
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.18
Passing Yards
219
276
Comp/Att
32/41(78%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
10.2
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.24
Rushing Yards
126
76
Rush Attempts
33
26
Yards / Rush
3.8
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.48
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
19
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
42%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
19
11
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-5.23
-18.90
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-32
-21
Sack EPA
-7.08
-9.96
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
46
30
Penalty EPA
-4.32
-4.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-42
Home nfelo
1,521
Away nfelo
1,632
Home Field
+56.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+11.9
Home QB Adjustment
+15.3
Away QB Adjustment
+3.4
Market Regression
-23.4
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.4
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+15.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
8
23
Passing Yards / Game
18
18
Rushing Yards / Game
3
21
EPA
EPA / Play
3
6
EPA / Pass
1
10
EPA / Rush
12
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
32
Interceptions / Game
7
17
Fumbles / Game
5
5
Turnover EPA / Game
27
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
6
4th Down Efficiency
1
3
RZ Efficiency
15
2
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
3
Yards / Game
32
1
Passing Yards / Game
32
6
Rushing Yards / Game
7
3
EPA
EPA / Play
32
8
EPA / Pass
32
6
EPA / Rush
24
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
5
Interceptions / Game
10
19
Fumbles / Game
15
14
Turnover EPA / Game
21
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
7
4th Down Efficiency
31
2
RZ Efficiency
21
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U