SEASeahawks
7-2
19
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
021
LARRams
7-2
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
6
3
7
19
Rams
14
0
0
7
21
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
414
249
Total Plays
79
50
Yards / Play
5.2
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.28
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
29/44(66%)
15/28(54%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-0.30
-0.34
Rushing Yards
135
119
Rush Attempts
35
22
Yards / Rush
3.9
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
12
Passing 1st downs
15
6
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
44%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
25%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-23.46
-5.21
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
47
43
Penalty EPA
-4.36
-4.70
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+81
Home nfelo
1,647
Away nfelo
1,605
Home Field
+23.4
Base HFA
+42.6
Divisional Adj
-19.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.1
Home QB Adjustment
+27.5
Away QB Adjustment
+12.3
Market Regression
+22.8
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+12.3
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+2.0
Team Elo Adj
+27.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
2
Yards / Game
6
13
Passing Yards / Game
31
5
Rushing Yards / Game
14
11
EPA
EPA / Play
11
3
EPA / Pass
7
3
EPA / Rush
29
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
29
Interceptions / Game
28
3
Fumbles / Game
29
2
Turnover EPA / Game
1
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
5
4th Down Efficiency
5
13
RZ Efficiency
10
2
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
6
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
18
6
EPA
EPA / Play
9
2
EPA / Pass
3
13
EPA / Rush
27
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
32
Interceptions / Game
2
8
Fumbles / Game
24
11
Turnover EPA / Game
21
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
7
4th Down Efficiency
4
12
RZ Efficiency
8
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U
Rams
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
5-5
O/U