SEASeahawks
6-5
27
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
023
LARRams
3-8
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
7
3
10
27
Rams
10
3
0
10
23
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
438
319
Total Plays
65
63
Yards / Play
6.7
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.04
Passing Yards
348
148
Comp/Att
28/39(72%)
14/26(54%)
Yards / Pass
8.9
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.27
-0.31
Rushing Yards
90
171
Rush Attempts
22
33
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
20
Passing 1st downs
18
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.49
-6.24
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-19
-30
Sack EPA
-8.31
-5.87
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
42
39
Penalty EPA
-6.23
-3.66
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model66.2%
Spread Pick
Rams+6.5
Expected Value
+2.9%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-79
Home nfelo
1,492
Away nfelo
1,463
Home Field
+22.0
Base HFA
+40.1
Divisional Adj
-18.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-129.8
Home QB Adjustment
-115.6
Away QB Adjustment
+14.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-116.8
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+14.2
J. Wolford
Proj. Value
-5.4
Team Elo Adj
-115.6
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
20
Yards / Game
13
18
Passing Yards / Game
8
11
Rushing Yards / Game
18
13
EPA
EPA / Play
10
19
EPA / Pass
15
26
EPA / Rush
16
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
3
Interceptions / Game
12
7
Fumbles / Game
27
30
Turnover EPA / Game
6
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
21
4th Down Efficiency
6
31
RZ Efficiency
27
1
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
25
Yards / Game
32
28
Passing Yards / Game
26
23
Rushing Yards / Game
26
30
EPA
EPA / Play
27
29
EPA / Pass
27
25
EPA / Rush
19
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
9
Interceptions / Game
22
16
Fumbles / Game
11
7
Turnover EPA / Game
4
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
27
4th Down Efficiency
1
3
RZ Efficiency
14
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U