SEASeahawks
10-2
12
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
60°F
4 mph
28
LARRams
7-5
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
60°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
0
0
3
6
Rams
7
14
0
7
28
Spread
0
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
308
455
Total Plays
62
67
Yards / Play
5.0
6.8
EPA / Play
-0.15
+0.08
Passing Yards
202
--
Comp/Att
22/36(61%)
22/32(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.20
Rushing Yards
106
162
Rush Attempts
21
35
Yards / Rush
5.0
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
26
Passing 1st downs
9
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
36%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
0%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.53
-10.80
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-43
--
Sack EPA
-7.64
--
Penalties
8
3
Penalty Yards
64
20
Penalty EPA
-5.71
-2.17
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
N/A
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model49.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+30
Home nfelo
1,582
Away nfelo
1,590
Home Field
+43.0
Base HFA
+47.9
Divisional Adj
-21.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-4.9
Home QB Adjustment
-0.4
Away QB Adjustment
+4.5
Market Regression
+10.0
Final Difference
6.1
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.5
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
-0.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
17
Yards / Game
6
14
Passing Yards / Game
10
19
Rushing Yards / Game
6
18
EPA
EPA / Play
9
10
EPA / Pass
7
12
EPA / Rush
19
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
32
Interceptions / Game
1
13
Fumbles / Game
31
12
Turnover EPA / Game
20
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
17
4th Down Efficiency
10
25
RZ Efficiency
7
30
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
19
Yards / Game
6
23
Passing Yards / Game
26
7
Rushing Yards / Game
26
22
EPA
EPA / Play
15
19
EPA / Pass
12
18
EPA / Rush
28
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
9
Interceptions / Game
25
9
Fumbles / Game
10
4
Turnover EPA / Game
8
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
18
4th Down Efficiency
31
20
RZ Efficiency
6
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U