PITSteelers
3-2
27
TBD
Paycor Stadium
47°F
6 mph
13
CINBengals
5-1
TBD
Paycor Stadium
47°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
0
7
17
3
27
Bengals
3
3
0
7
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
304
302
Total Plays
62
57
Yards / Play
4.9
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.18
-0.12
Passing Yards
83
211
Comp/Att
9/14(64%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.25
Rushing Yards
221
91
Rush Attempts
47
19
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.11
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
10
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
36%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.69
-11.37
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-10
-16
Sack EPA
-1.47
-3.06
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
65
35
Penalty EPA
-3.47
-4.93
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
23
Yards / Game
14
28
Passing Yards / Game
24
16
Rushing Yards / Game
5
21
EPA
EPA / Play
8
29
EPA / Pass
2
22
EPA / Rush
8
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
31
Interceptions / Game
9
1
Fumbles / Game
4
15
Turnover EPA / Game
28
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
31
4th Down Efficiency
12
16
RZ Efficiency
4
26
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
3
Yards / Game
4
7
Passing Yards / Game
9
29
Rushing Yards / Game
12
3
EPA
EPA / Play
5
6
EPA / Pass
5
8
EPA / Rush
6
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
19
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
1
6
Turnover EPA / Game
27
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
21
4th Down Efficiency
30
14
RZ Efficiency
11
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U