PITSteelers
1-4
24
TBD
StubHub Center
71°F
9 mph
17
LACChargers
2-3
TBD
StubHub Center
71°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
8
7
3
0
18
Chargers
0
0
0
17
17
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
256
348
Total Plays
56
59
Yards / Play
4.6
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.16
Passing Yards
--
316
Comp/Att
15/20(75%)
26/44(59%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.13
Rushing Yards
124
32
Rush Attempts
36
14
Yards / Rush
3.4
2.3
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.81
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
23
Passing 1st downs
7
18
Rushing 1st downs
9
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
62%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
8
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.09
-17.21
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-4
Sack EPA
--
-1.39
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
45
74
Penalty EPA
-4.00
-8.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model74.5%
Spread Pick
Chargers-6.0
Expected Value
+16.2%
Cover Probability
58.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+226
Home nfelo
1,538
Away nfelo
1,581
Home Field
+82.8
Base HFA
+53.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+28.9
Net QB Adjustment
+186.2
Home QB Adjustment
+1.3
Away QB Adjustment
-184.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
185.9
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
D. Hodges
Proj. Value
-6.0
Team Elo Adj
-184.9
No recent game data available
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+1.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
13
Yards / Game
30
6
Passing Yards / Game
30
3
Rushing Yards / Game
29
18
EPA
EPA / Play
31
22
EPA / Pass
30
22
EPA / Rush
32
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
21
Interceptions / Game
28
21
Fumbles / Game
22
30
Turnover EPA / Game
5
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
29
4th Down Efficiency
32
28
RZ Efficiency
32
21
Chargers Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
5
Yards / Game
10
5
Passing Yards / Game
3
13
Rushing Yards / Game
28
14
EPA
EPA / Play
11
2
EPA / Pass
11
4
EPA / Rush
25
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
24
Interceptions / Game
29
2
Fumbles / Game
18
1
Turnover EPA / Game
4
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
6
4th Down Efficiency
9
18
RZ Efficiency
22
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Chargers
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U