HOUTexans
-
9
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
70°F
025
BALRavens
-
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
6
0
3
9
Ravens
7
0
15
3
25
Spread
-9.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
268
267
Total Plays
72
59
Yards / Play
3.7
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.30
-0.07
Passing Yards
196
155
Comp/Att
28/44(64%)
17/22(77%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.25
-0.20
Rushing Yards
72
112
Rush Attempts
23
33
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.35
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
1
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
39%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
18
15
Red Zone %
0%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.39
-9.40
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-46
-14
Sack EPA
-14.19
-10.18
Penalties
9
13
Penalty Yards
88
106
Penalty EPA
-8.38
-12.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+242
Home nfelo
1,572
Away nfelo
1,389
Home Field
+50.0
Base HFA
+42.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.6
Net QB Adjustment
+8.6
Home QB Adjustment
+6.6
Away QB Adjustment
-2.0
Market Regression
-10.5
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
C. Stroud
Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
-2.0
No recent game data available
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+6.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
1
Yards / Game
15
4
Passing Yards / Game
21
15
Rushing Yards / Game
28
12
EPA
EPA / Play
14
2
EPA / Pass
11
2
EPA / Rush
27
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
13
Interceptions / Game
1
10
Fumbles / Game
13
20
Turnover EPA / Game
32
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
9
4th Down Efficiency
31
1
RZ Efficiency
16
2
Ravens Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
11
Yards / Game
6
15
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
1
8
EPA
EPA / Play
6
13
EPA / Pass
9
16
EPA / Rush
4
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
15
Interceptions / Game
1
15
Fumbles / Game
30
25
Turnover EPA / Game
18
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
6
4th Down Efficiency
2
18
RZ Efficiency
7
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Ravens
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U