TENTitans
7-6
26
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
22°F
6 mph
17
KCChiefs
4-9
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
22°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
3
10
6
26
Chiefs
0
14
3
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
327
306
Total Plays
63
64
Yards / Play
5.2
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.01
Passing Yards
179
--
Comp/Att
16/26(62%)
25/43(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.03
Rushing Yards
148
89
Rush Attempts
36
21
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
10
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
27%
65%
3rd Down Conversions
3
11
3rd Down Attempts
11
17
Red Zone %
20%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+5.52
-7.93
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-12
--
Sack EPA
-1.49
--
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
35
61
Penalty EPA
+3.14
-6.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
15
Yards / Game
21
12
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
21
14
EPA / Pass
18
10
EPA / Rush
24
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
1
Interceptions / Game
18
24
Fumbles / Game
30
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
1
4th Down Efficiency
32
1
RZ Efficiency
32
1
Chiefs Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
6
Yards / Game
31
4
Passing Yards / Game
12
17
Rushing Yards / Game
32
4
EPA
EPA / Play
30
7
EPA / Pass
28
5
EPA / Rush
29
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
19
Interceptions / Game
24
2
Fumbles / Game
15
27
Turnover EPA / Game
13
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
28
4th Down Efficiency
3
17
RZ Efficiency
23
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U