TENTitans
1-1
29
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
3 mph
10
NYGGiants
1-1
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
3
7
7
10
27
Giants
0
10
0
0
10
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
471
Total Plays
58
70
Yards / Play
4.7
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.19
-0.17
Passing Yards
110
364
Comp/Att
10/16(63%)
34/48(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.41
-0.12
Rushing Yards
161
107
Rush Attempts
41
20
Yards / Rush
3.9
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
26
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
46%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
75%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.31
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-22
Sack EPA
-2.21
-3.74
Penalties
8
11
Penalty Yards
80
86
Penalty EPA
-9.65
-16.59
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model62.6%
Spread Pick
Giants-3.0
Expected Value
+4.3%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+129
Home nfelo
1,529
Away nfelo
1,497
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+2.8
Home QB Adjustment
-0.8
Away QB Adjustment
-3.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
89.9
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
V. Young
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-3.6
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
17
Yards / Game
28
7
Passing Yards / Game
29
13
Rushing Yards / Game
17
8
EPA
EPA / Play
14
3
EPA / Pass
16
3
EPA / Rush
28
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
31
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
28
1
Turnover EPA / Game
17
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
1
4th Down Efficiency
10
21
RZ Efficiency
10
18
Giants Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
4
26
Passing Yards / Game
32
32
Rushing Yards / Game
6
20
EPA
EPA / Play
21
21
EPA / Pass
14
22
EPA / Rush
27
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
26
Interceptions / Game
31
11
Fumbles / Game
31
31
Turnover EPA / Game
1
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
29
4th Down Efficiency
32
7
RZ Efficiency
11
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U