nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ giants week 3, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

TEN logo
TENTitans
1-1
29
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
3 mph
10
NYGGiants
1-1
NYG logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
3
7
7
10
27
Giants
0
10
0
0
10

Spread

TEN logo
+3

Total

UNDER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
271
471
Total Plays
58
70
Yards / Play
4.7
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.19
-0.17
Passing Yards
110
364
Comp/Att
10/16(63%)
34/48(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.41
-0.12
Rushing Yards
161
107
Rush Attempts
41
20
Yards / Rush
3.9
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
17
26
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
46%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
75%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.31
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-22
Sack EPA
-2.21
-3.74
Penalties
8
11
Penalty Yards
80
86
Penalty EPA
-9.65
-16.59

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.5

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model62.8%
Spread Pick
NYG logo
Giants-3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+4.3%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+133
Home nfelo
1,529
Away nfelo
1,495
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+2.8
Home QB Adjustment
-0.8
Away QB Adjustment
-3.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
91.1
Model Spread
-3.5

Quarterbacks

V. Young headshot

V. Young

Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-3.6
Value
Ptile
11/15
4.2
77
11/23
3.3
72
11/29
3.8
74
12/06
1.5
60
12/13
3.9
74
12/20
2.8
68
12/25
-5.4
17
01/03
-3.8
25
09/12
3.1
70
09/19
-7.4
8
E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
Value
Ptile
11/08
1.6
60
11/22
6.8
88
11/26
-3.5
28
12/06
-0.6
46
12/13
10.8
98
12/21
6.5
87
12/27
-0.9
44
01/03
-5.1
20
09/12
0.9
54
09/19
-4.1
24

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Giants Defense
Titans logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
16
17
Yards / Game
28
7
Passing Yards / Game
29
13
Rushing Yards / Game
17
8

EPA

EPA / Play
14
3
EPA / Pass
16
3
EPA / Rush
28
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
31
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
28
1
Turnover EPA / Game
17
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
1
4th Down Efficiency
10
21
RZ Efficiency
10
18
Giants Offense vs Titans Defense
Giants logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
4
26
Passing Yards / Game
32
32
Rushing Yards / Game
6
20

EPA

EPA / Play
21
21
EPA / Pass
14
22
EPA / Rush
27
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
26
Interceptions / Game
31
11
Fumbles / Game
31
31
Turnover EPA / Game
1
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
29
4th Down Efficiency
32
7
RZ Efficiency
11
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/15
24
W
W
O
11/23
3
W
W
U
11/29
3
W
L
U
12/06
-10
L
L
U
12/13
40
W
W
O
12/20
3
W
L
O
12/25
-25
L
L
O
01/03
4
W
L
U
09/12
25
W
W
O
09/19
-8
L
L
U
NYG logo

Giants

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/08
-1
L
L
U
11/22
3
W
L
O
11/26
-20
L
L
U
12/06
7
W
W
O
12/13
-7
L
L
O
12/21
33
W
W
O
12/27
-32
L
L
O
01/03
-37
L
L
O
09/12
13
W
W
O
09/19
-24
L
L
O