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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ ravens week 19, 2019

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TEN logo
TENTitans
10-7
28
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
69°F
12 mph
12
BALRavens
14-2
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
69°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
7
14
0
28
Ravens
0
6
0
6
12

Spread

TEN logo
+10

Total

UNDER
47.5

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
300
530
Total Plays
53
93
Yards / Play
5.7
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.16
-0.13
Passing Yards
83
345
Comp/Att
8/15(53%)
31/60(52%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.15
-0.21
Rushing Yards
217
185
Rush Attempts
37
29
Yards / Rush
5.9
6.4
EPA / Rush
+0.25
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
15
29
Passing 1st downs
5
18
Rushing 1st downs
9
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
54%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
7
11
3rd Down Attempts
13
18
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-16.66
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-8
-20
Sack EPA
-1.98
-8.47
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
20
56
Penalty EPA
-2.98
-10.51

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0

Win Probability

Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+234
Home nfelo
1,704
Away nfelo
1,593
Home Field
+50.7
Base HFA
+45.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+13.1
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-8.2
Net QB Adjustment
+51.6
Home QB Adjustment
+69.2
Away QB Adjustment
+17.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0

Quarterbacks

R. Tannehill headshot

R. Tannehill

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+17.6
Value
Ptile
10/27
-1.7
41
11/03
2.7
70
11/10
0.1
53
11/24
10.7
98
12/01
-4.0
25
12/08
8.1
94
12/15
0.5
55
12/22
0.6
57
12/29
1.3
63
01/04
-4.2
24
L. Jackson headshot

L. Jackson

Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+69.2
Value
Ptile
10/13
9.2
95
10/20
3.4
75
11/03
9.8
96
11/10
9.3
95
11/17
9.6
96
11/25
10.7
98
12/01
6.2
87
12/08
2.8
71
12/12
11.0
99
12/22
10.7
98

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Ravens Defense
Titans logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
8
3
Yards / Game
15
3
Passing Yards / Game
28
14
Rushing Yards / Game
3
7

EPA

EPA / Play
6
7
EPA / Pass
8
3
EPA / Rush
4
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
26
Interceptions / Game
6
16
Fumbles / Game
3
6
Turnover EPA / Game
27
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
14
4th Down Efficiency
28
3
RZ Efficiency
1
7
Ravens Offense vs Titans Defense
Ravens logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
1
11
Yards / Game
2
22
Passing Yards / Game
23
30
Rushing Yards / Game
1
13

EPA

EPA / Play
1
13
EPA / Pass
1
16
EPA / Rush
1
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
5
Interceptions / Game
10
7
Fumbles / Game
9
11
Turnover EPA / Game
30
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
16
4th Down Efficiency
5
5
RZ Efficiency
5
26

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
8-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/27
4
W
W
O
11/03
-10
L
L
O
11/10
3
W
W
O
11/24
22
W
W
O
12/01
14
W
W
O
12/08
21
W
W
O
12/15
-3
L
L
U
12/22
-10
L
L
O
12/29
21
W
W
O
01/04
7
W
W
U
BAL logo

Ravens

10-0
SU
9-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/20
14
W
W
U
11/03
17
W
W
O
11/10
36
W
W
O
11/17
34
W
W
U
11/25
39
W
W
O
12/01
3
W
L
U
12/08
7
W
W
U
12/12
21
W
W
O
12/22
16
W
W
U
12/29
18
W
W
O