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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ seahawks week 2, 2021

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TEN logo
TENTitans
0-1
33
TBD
Lumen Field
62°F
14 mph
30
SEASeahawks
1-0
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
62°F
14 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Titans
3
6
7
14
3
33
Seahawks
3
21
0
6
0
30

Spread

TEN logo
+6

Total

OVER
53.5

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
532
397
Total Plays
83
52
Yards / Play
6.4
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.13
Passing Yards
320
320
Comp/Att
27/40(68%)
22/31(71%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
10.3
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.27
Rushing Yards
212
77
Rush Attempts
40
18
Yards / Rush
5.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.15
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
33
17
Passing 1st downs
16
10
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
6
2
3rd Down %
43%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.49
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-27
-23
Sack EPA
-8.70
-4.45
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
45
100
Penalty EPA
-7.27
-8.40

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market69.3%
Model70.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+197
Home nfelo
1,631
Away nfelo
1,506
Home Field
+67.4
Base HFA
+44.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.4
Time Adj
+7.9
Net QB Adjustment
+5.4
Home QB Adjustment
+2.7
Away QB Adjustment
-2.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
152.8
Model Spread
-6.5

Quarterbacks

R. Tannehill headshot

R. Tannehill

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-2.7
Value
Ptile
11/12
-2.1
29
11/22
3.9
73
11/29
1.7
56
12/06
3.6
71
12/13
1.1
52
12/20
9.4
95
12/27
-2.8
25
01/03
3.1
67
01/10
-1.6
33
09/12
-5.1
19
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+2.7
Value
Ptile
11/15
-5.8
12
11/19
1.8
57
11/30
0.4
49
12/06
-2.1
28
12/13
1.7
55
12/20
0.3
48
12/27
-0.1
45
01/03
-0.2
45
01/09
-3.6
22
09/12
3.4
78

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Titans logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
14
12
Yards / Game
17
28
Passing Yards / Game
20
32
Rushing Yards / Game
5
17

EPA

EPA / Play
17
17
EPA / Pass
16
24
EPA / Rush
10
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
7
Interceptions / Game
25
22
Fumbles / Game
27
18
Turnover EPA / Game
10
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
15
4th Down Efficiency
8
3
RZ Efficiency
9
3
Seahawks Offense vs Titans Defense
Seahawks logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
16
6
Yards / Game
20
11
Passing Yards / Game
24
30
Rushing Yards / Game
10
1

EPA

EPA / Play
13
8
EPA / Pass
17
10
EPA / Rush
6
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
8
Interceptions / Game
2
11
Fumbles / Game
5
28
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
6
4th Down Efficiency
32
21
RZ Efficiency
3
4

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/12
-17
L
L
O
11/22
6
W
W
O
11/29
19
W
W
O
12/06
-6
L
L
O
12/13
21
W
W
U
12/20
21
W
W
O
12/27
-26
L
L
O
01/03
3
W
L
O
01/10
-7
L
L
U
09/12
-25
L
L
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/15
-7
L
L
U
11/19
7
W
W
U
11/30
6
W
L
U
12/06
-5
L
L
U
12/13
37
W
W
U
12/20
5
W
L
U
12/27
11
W
W
U
01/03
3
W
L
O
01/09
-10
L
L
O
09/12
12
W
W
U