MINVikings
7-4
14
TBD
Soldier Field
45°F
14 mph
24
CHIBears
4-7
TBD
Soldier Field
45°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
7
0
0
14
Bears
7
10
0
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
391
318
Total Plays
60
70
Yards / Play
6.5
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.08
+0.05
Passing Yards
245
174
Comp/Att
23/33(70%)
18/30(60%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.26
+0.22
Rushing Yards
146
144
Rush Attempts
22
35
Yards / Rush
6.6
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.27
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
21
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
70%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
7
10
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-23.27
-3.19
Sacks
5
5
Sack Yards
-34
-39
Sack EPA
-5.71
-8.23
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
30
55
Penalty EPA
-3.94
-2.75
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
12
Yards / Game
3
19
Passing Yards / Game
1
4
Rushing Yards / Game
17
24
EPA
EPA / Play
5
3
EPA / Pass
2
6
EPA / Rush
9
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
1
Interceptions / Game
8
15
Fumbles / Game
5
6
Turnover EPA / Game
20
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
1
4th Down Efficiency
7
3
RZ Efficiency
14
5
Bears Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
25
Yards / Game
32
29
Passing Yards / Game
27
30
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20
EPA
EPA / Play
32
30
EPA / Pass
32
29
EPA / Rush
29
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
8
Interceptions / Game
14
24
Fumbles / Game
30
18
Turnover EPA / Game
8
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
30
4th Down Efficiency
28
25
RZ Efficiency
32
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U