MINVikings
14-3
7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
47°F
5 mph
38
PHIEagles
14-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
47°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
0
0
0
7
Eagles
1
17
7
7
32
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
333
456
Total Plays
67
64
Yards / Play
5.0
7.1
EPA / Play
-0.18
+0.33
Passing Yards
263
346
Comp/Att
28/48(58%)
26/33(79%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
10.5
EPA / Pass
-0.23
+0.72
Rushing Yards
70
110
Rush Attempts
18
30
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
27
Passing 1st downs
17
19
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
46%
71%
3rd Down Conversions
6
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-16.36
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-6
Sack EPA
-4.71
-2.06
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
--
55
Penalty EPA
--
-4.43
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-89
Home nfelo
1,607
Away nfelo
1,699
Home Field
+65.5
Base HFA
+56.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.6
Time Adj
-10.0
Net QB Adjustment
-55.0
Home QB Adjustment
-74.3
Away QB Adjustment
-19.3
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-19.3
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-74.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
4
Yards / Game
10
9
Passing Yards / Game
26
26
Rushing Yards / Game
8
1
EPA
EPA / Play
11
5
EPA / Pass
9
7
EPA / Rush
26
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
22
Interceptions / Game
6
6
Fumbles / Game
11
2
Turnover EPA / Game
23
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
3
4th Down Efficiency
31
2
RZ Efficiency
12
12
Eagles Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
2
Yards / Game
4
2
Passing Yards / Game
7
17
Rushing Yards / Game
3
2
EPA
EPA / Play
4
3
EPA / Pass
2
4
EPA / Rush
11
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
26
Interceptions / Game
4
13
Fumbles / Game
22
32
Turnover EPA / Game
29
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
1
4th Down Efficiency
3
12
RZ Efficiency
2
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U