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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ falcons week 4, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIN logo
MINVikings
1-2
10
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0
30
ATLFalcons
2-1
ATL logo
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
0
0
10
10
Falcons
7
17
3
3
30

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Falcons logo
Total Yards
261
368
Total Plays
59
64
Yards / Play
4.4
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.14
+0.17
Passing Yards
198
83
Comp/Att
23/34(68%)
11/22(50%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
3.8
EPA / Pass
-0.33
-0.04
Rushing Yards
63
285
Rush Attempts
16
41
Yards / Rush
3.9
7.0
EPA / Rush
+0.11
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Falcons logo
1st Downs
16
22
Passing 1st downs
11
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
10%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Falcons logo
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.50
--
Sacks
9
1
Sack Yards
-52
-5
Sack EPA
-13.94
-1.43
Penalties
11
8
Penalty Yards
85
65
Penalty EPA
-9.06
-6.29

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Falcons Defense
Vikings logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
19
18
Yards / Game
25
22
Passing Yards / Game
15
17
Rushing Yards / Game
27
26

EPA

EPA / Play
24
17
EPA / Pass
19
7
EPA / Rush
27
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
15
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
22
2
Turnover EPA / Game
13
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
1
4th Down Efficiency
17
26
RZ Efficiency
23
20
Falcons Offense vs Vikings Defense
Falcons logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
12
19
Yards / Game
11
21
Passing Yards / Game
28
7
Rushing Yards / Game
1
19

EPA

EPA / Play
14
9
EPA / Pass
20
16
EPA / Rush
5
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
2
Interceptions / Game
7
2
Fumbles / Game
16
23
Turnover EPA / Game
17
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
30
4th Down Efficiency
25
12
RZ Efficiency
8
9

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/05
-10
L
L
P
12/12
-4
L
L
P
12/19
1
W
L
P
12/24
-3
L
L
P
01/02
-3
L
L
P
01/09
14
W
W
P
01/16
-13
L
L
P
09/11
-11
L
L
P
09/18
-29
L
L
P
09/25
17
W
W
P
ATL logo

Falcons

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/05
-27
L
L
P
12/12
25
W
W
P
12/18
3
W
L
P
12/26
-13
L
L
P
01/02
-2
L
W
P
01/15
30
W
W
P
01/23
-17
L
L
P
09/12
4
W
W
P
09/18
-3
L
L
P
09/25
8
W
W
P