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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ packers week 11, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIN logo
MINVikings
4-5
20
TBD
Lambeau Field
36°F
7 mph
17
GBPackers
2-7
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
36°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
1
7
6
14
Packers
7
7
0
3
17

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
331
236
Total Plays
72
49
Yards / Play
4.6
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.22
Passing Yards
171
215
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.22
-0.23
Rushing Yards
160
21
Rush Attempts
37
14
Yards / Rush
4.3
1.5
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
22
13
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
40%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.01
-11.29
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-25
-12
Sack EPA
-8.94
-3.07
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
77
31
Penalty EPA
-5.74
-5.15

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Packers Defense
Vikings logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
19
19
Yards / Game
25
6
Passing Yards / Game
15
1
Rushing Yards / Game
27
23

EPA

EPA / Play
24
15
EPA / Pass
19
12
EPA / Rush
27
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
27
Interceptions / Game
17
27
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
13
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
9
4th Down Efficiency
17
11
RZ Efficiency
23
21
Packers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Packers logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
21
19
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
8
7
Rushing Yards / Game
30
19

EPA

EPA / Play
22
9
EPA / Pass
17
16
EPA / Rush
25
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
2
Interceptions / Game
32
2
Fumbles / Game
23
23
Turnover EPA / Game
1
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
30
4th Down Efficiency
14
12
RZ Efficiency
18
9

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/16
-13
L
L
P
09/11
-11
L
L
P
09/18
-29
L
L
P
09/25
17
W
W
P
10/02
-20
L
L
P
10/16
-25
L
L
P
10/23
3
W
W
P
10/30
-25
L
L
P
11/06
13
W
W
P
11/13
3
W
W
P
GB logo

Packers

2-8
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/09
-14
L
L
P
09/11
-14
L
L
P
09/18
-2
L
L
P
09/25
-1
L
W
P
10/03
-3
L
P
P
10/09
49
W
W
P
10/23
-3
L
L
P
10/30
-7
L
P
P
11/06
-10
L
L
P
11/13
8
W
W
P