MINVikings
11-3
16
TBD
Lambeau Field
10°F
6 mph
0
GBPackers
7-7
TBD
Lambeau Field
10°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
10
0
3
3
16
Packers
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
-9
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
236
239
Total Plays
61
65
Yards / Play
3.9
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.42
Passing Yards
124
126
Comp/Att
14/25(56%)
17/40(43%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
3.1
EPA / Pass
-0.12
-0.63
Rushing Yards
112
113
Rush Attempts
33
24
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
12
Passing 1st downs
9
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-6.46
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-15
-4
Sack EPA
-5.81
-1.81
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
10
79
Penalty EPA
-0.94
-8.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-9.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market78.3%
Model76.2%
Spread Pick
Packers+9.0
Expected Value
+2.3%
Cover Probability
51.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-167
Home nfelo
1,547
Away nfelo
1,684
Home Field
+50.1
Base HFA
+55.9
Divisional Adj
-25.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.5
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-81.0
Home QB Adjustment
-94.6
Away QB Adjustment
-13.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-201.7
Model Spread
+8.0
Quarterbacks
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-13.6
B. Hundley
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-94.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
26
Yards / Game
10
23
Passing Yards / Game
26
25
Rushing Yards / Game
8
18
EPA
EPA / Play
11
29
EPA / Pass
9
30
EPA / Rush
26
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
5
Interceptions / Game
6
18
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
23
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
28
4th Down Efficiency
31
31
RZ Efficiency
12
30
Packers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
2
Yards / Game
26
2
Passing Yards / Game
17
17
Rushing Yards / Game
17
2
EPA
EPA / Play
17
3
EPA / Pass
23
4
EPA / Rush
2
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
26
Interceptions / Game
28
13
Fumbles / Game
7
32
Turnover EPA / Game
11
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
1
4th Down Efficiency
10
12
RZ Efficiency
4
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
5-5
O/U
Packers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U