nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ rams week 8, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

MIN logo
MINVikings
5-1
20
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0
30
LARRams
2-4
LAR logo
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
14
0
3
3
20
Rams
7
7
7
7
28

Spread

LAR logo
+3

Total

OVER
47

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
276
386
Total Plays
50
66
Yards / Play
5.5
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.20
Passing Yards
212
--
Comp/Att
18/25(72%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
--
EPA / Pass
+0.34
+0.47
Rushing Yards
64
107
Rush Attempts
22
32
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
17
26
Passing 1st downs
14
16
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
29%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
7
10
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.35
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-28
--
Sack EPA
-5.50
--
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
50
--
Penalty EPA
-7.82
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-44
Home nfelo
1,482
Away nfelo
1,572
Home Field
+59.7
Base HFA
+44.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.7
Net QB Adjustment
-13.2
Home QB Adjustment
-18.3
Away QB Adjustment
-5.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0

Quarterbacks

S. Darnold headshot

S. Darnold

Proj. Value
-0.0
Team Elo Adj
-5.1
Value
Ptile
12/24
3.0
76
01/01
4.8
84
01/08
-10.1
2
01/07
0.2
51
09/08
1.5
59
09/15
1.7
61
09/22
0.1
49
09/29
4.0
75
10/06
-8.2
5
10/20
0.9
54
J. Stafford headshot

J. Stafford

Proj. Value
+2.3
Team Elo Adj
-18.3
Value
Ptile
12/17
1.8
62
12/21
6.4
88
12/31
-3.0
29
01/14
4.8
80
09/08
0.9
54
09/15
-5.6
13
09/22
-1.3
39
09/29
-3.5
25
10/06
-2.1
33
10/20
-6.2
11

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Rams Defense
Vikings logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
12
25
Passing Yards / Game
3
15
Rushing Yards / Game
19
28

EPA

EPA / Play
17
20
EPA / Pass
17
13
EPA / Rush
23
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
23
Interceptions / Game
18
15
Fumbles / Game
19
25
Turnover EPA / Game
11
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
6
RZ Efficiency
19
4
Rams Offense vs Vikings Defense
Rams logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
19
4
Yards / Game
14
14
Passing Yards / Game
31
31
Rushing Yards / Game
23
2

EPA

EPA / Play
14
2
EPA / Pass
12
7
EPA / Rush
27
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
4
Interceptions / Game
7
1
Fumbles / Game
11
13
Turnover EPA / Game
28
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
2
4th Down Efficiency
7
1
RZ Efficiency
25
18

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/16
-3
L
P
O
12/24
-6
L
L
O
12/31
-23
L
L
O
01/07
-10
L
L
O
09/08
22
W
W
U
09/15
6
W
W
U
09/22
27
W
W
U
09/29
2
W
W
O
10/06
6
W
W
U
10/20
-2
L
L
O
LAR logo

Rams

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
8
W
W
O
12/31
1
W
L
O
01/07
1
W
W
O
01/14
-1
L
W
U
09/08
-6
L
L
U
09/15
-31
L
L
O
09/22
3
W
W
O
09/29
-6
L
L
O
10/06
-5
L
L
U
10/20
5
W
L
U