MINVikings
3-1
38
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
031
NOSaints
2-3
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
14
10
7
38
Saints
0
14
7
10
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
605
385
Total Plays
68
64
Yards / Play
8.9
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.36
+0.20
Passing Yards
417
226
Comp/Att
26/38(68%)
22/38(58%)
Yards / Pass
11.0
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.78
-0.08
Rushing Yards
188
159
Rush Attempts
28
23
Yards / Rush
6.7
6.9
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.51
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
25
Passing 1st downs
19
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
73%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
67%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
4
4
Red Zone Attempts
6
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-14.97
-7.68
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-8
-23
Sack EPA
-2.36
-6.04
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
35
21
Penalty EPA
-2.65
-3.51
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
26
Yards / Game
3
32
Passing Yards / Game
1
18
Rushing Yards / Game
17
29
EPA
EPA / Play
5
23
EPA / Pass
2
24
EPA / Rush
9
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
12
Interceptions / Game
8
25
Fumbles / Game
5
1
Turnover EPA / Game
20
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
17
4th Down Efficiency
7
32
RZ Efficiency
14
14
Saints Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
25
Yards / Game
15
29
Passing Yards / Game
5
30
Rushing Yards / Game
25
20
EPA
EPA / Play
14
30
EPA / Pass
15
29
EPA / Rush
26
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
8
Interceptions / Game
14
24
Fumbles / Game
11
18
Turnover EPA / Game
10
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
30
4th Down Efficiency
14
25
RZ Efficiency
5
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U