MINVikings
8-3
30
TBD
Lumen Field
51°F
1 mph
37
SEASeahawks
9-2
TBD
Lumen Field
51°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
4
0
13
24
Seahawks
7
3
17
10
37
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
354
444
Total Plays
52
76
Yards / Play
6.8
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.07
Passing Yards
--
226
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.06
Rushing Yards
78
218
Rush Attempts
14
43
Yards / Rush
5.6
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
24
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
16
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-11.54
-10.75
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
--
-2.44
Penalties
3
1
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-2.33
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model57.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+12
Home nfelo
1,572
Away nfelo
1,574
Home Field
+28.1
Base HFA
+48.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-37.8
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+17.4
Net QB Adjustment
-14.1
Home QB Adjustment
+5.2
Away QB Adjustment
+19.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
54.5
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+19.3
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
19
Yards / Game
19
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
7
Rushing Yards / Game
8
22
EPA
EPA / Play
10
19
EPA / Pass
9
18
EPA / Rush
12
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
9
Interceptions / Game
7
9
Fumbles / Game
25
4
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
16
20
RZ Efficiency
10
23
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
6
Yards / Game
6
13
Passing Yards / Game
10
24
Rushing Yards / Game
6
17
EPA
EPA / Play
9
5
EPA / Pass
7
6
EPA / Rush
19
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
23
Interceptions / Game
1
3
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
20
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
19
4th Down Efficiency
10
22
RZ Efficiency
7
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U