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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ seahawks week 13, 2019

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIN logo
MINVikings
8-3
30
TBD
Lumen Field
51°F
1 mph
37
SEASeahawks
9-2
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
51°F
1 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
4
0
13
24
Seahawks
7
3
17
10
37

Spread

SEA logo
-3

Total

OVER
48

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
354
444
Total Plays
52
76
Yards / Play
6.8
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.07
Passing Yards
--
226
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.06
Rushing Yards
78
218
Rush Attempts
14
43
Yards / Rush
5.6
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
17
24
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
16
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-11.54
-10.75
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
--
-2.44
Penalties
3
1
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-2.33
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model56.3%
Spread Pick
MIN logo
Vikings+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+10
Home nfelo
1,566
Away nfelo
1,570
Home Field
+28.4
Base HFA
+48.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-38.0
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+17.5
Net QB Adjustment
-14.1
Home QB Adjustment
+5.2
Away QB Adjustment
+19.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
44.3
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

K. Cousins headshot

K. Cousins

Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+19.3
Value
Ptile
09/15
-6.0
15
09/22
0.2
53
09/29
-2.9
31
10/06
3.7
77
10/13
6.9
90
10/20
8.9
95
10/24
0.9
59
11/03
1.1
61
11/10
3.5
75
11/17
5.8
85
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+5.2
Value
Ptile
09/15
6.2
87
09/22
15.0
99
09/29
-1.1
46
10/03
8.8
94
10/13
5.8
86
10/20
-1.8
40
10/27
-2.6
34
11/03
9.6
96
11/11
0.9
59
11/24
-8.4
8

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
11
19
Yards / Game
18
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
7
Rushing Yards / Game
8
22

EPA

EPA / Play
10
19
EPA / Pass
9
18
EPA / Rush
13
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
9
Interceptions / Game
7
9
Fumbles / Game
25
4
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
16
20
RZ Efficiency
10
22
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Seahawks logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
9
6
Yards / Game
6
13
Passing Yards / Game
10
24
Rushing Yards / Game
6
17

EPA

EPA / Play
9
5
EPA / Pass
7
6
EPA / Rush
19
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
23
Interceptions / Game
1
3
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
20
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
19
4th Down Efficiency
10
22
RZ Efficiency
7
2

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
-5
L
L
U
09/22
20
W
W
O
09/29
-10
L
L
U
10/06
18
W
W
U
10/13
18
W
W
O
10/20
12
W
W
O
10/24
10
W
L
U
11/03
-3
L
L
O
11/10
4
W
W
O
11/17
4
W
L
O
SEA logo

Seahawks

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
2
W
W
O
09/22
-6
L
L
O
09/29
17
W
W
U
10/03
1
W
L
O
10/13
4
W
W
O
10/20
-14
L
L
U
10/27
7
W
L
U
11/03
6
W
W
O
11/11
3
W
W
O
11/24
8
W
W
U