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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ seahawks week 13, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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MIN logo
MINVikings
4-7
0
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
2 mph
26
SEASeahawks
8-3
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
2 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
0
0
0
0
Seahawks
0
7
6
7
20

Spread

SEA logo
-12

Total

UNDER
41.5

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
162
219
Total Plays
50
62
Yards / Play
3.2
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.65
-0.04
Passing Yards
96
94
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
14/26(54%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
3.6
EPA / Pass
-1.04
-0.33
Rushing Yards
66
125
Rush Attempts
16
32
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
11
17
Passing 1st downs
6
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
20%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
6
1
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-22.02
-5.47
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-30
-34
Sack EPA
-6.93
-10.42
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
80
25
Penalty EPA
-5.48
-2.90

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-12.0
Model
-11.0

Win Probability

Market83.4%
Model81.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+208
Home nfelo
1,605
Away nfelo
1,475
Home Field
+43.9
Base HFA
+43.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+33.6
Home QB Adjustment
+5.7
Away QB Adjustment
-27.9
Market Regression
+13.1
Final Difference
260.6
Model Spread
-11.0

Quarterbacks

M. Brosmer headshot

M. Brosmer

Proj. Value
-5.0
Team Elo Adj
-27.9
No recent game data available
S. Darnold headshot

S. Darnold

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+5.7
Value
Ptile
09/14
-0.4
47
09/21
3.7
76
09/25
0.4
54
10/05
9.2
96
10/12
1.9
64
10/20
-3.0
29
11/02
9.3
96
11/09
-3.0
29
11/16
-4.8
19
11/23
1.1
59

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
26
2
Yards / Game
29
6
Passing Yards / Game
30
8
Rushing Yards / Game
25
3

EPA

EPA / Play
28
2
EPA / Pass
31
8
EPA / Rush
17
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
26
Interceptions / Game
32
5
Fumbles / Game
15
7
Turnover EPA / Game
3
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
1
4th Down Efficiency
11
13
RZ Efficiency
13
7
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Seahawks logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
2
10
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
27
9
Rushing Yards / Game
16
22

EPA

EPA / Play
11
4
EPA / Pass
8
3
EPA / Rush
29
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
3
Interceptions / Game
26
24
Fumbles / Game
28
1
Turnover EPA / Game
1
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
5
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
18
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
-16
L
L
U
09/21
38
W
W
O
09/28
-3
L
L
O
10/05
4
W
W
O
10/19
-6
L
L
O
10/23
-27
L
L
O
11/02
3
W
W
O
11/09
-8
L
L
U
11/16
-2
L
L
U
11/23
-17
L
L
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
14
W
W
O
09/21
31
W
W
O
09/25
3
W
W
U
10/05
-3
L
L
O
10/12
8
W
W
U
10/20
8
W
W
O
11/02
24
W
W
O
11/09
22
W
W
O
11/16
-2
L
W
U
11/23
6
W
L
O