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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-4
nfelo Rating
16335th
Point Diff / Game
+8.23rd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1454th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NO logo
NO
W
31-19
+12
-2.5
W
17
2
CHI logo
CHI@
W
48-23
+25
-2
W
18
3
SF logo
SF
W
47-07
+40
-7
W
53
4
LAR logo
LAR
L
22-24
-2
-7
L
-12
5
DET logo
DET@
W
42-17
+25
-4.5
W
40
6
PIT logo
PIT@
L
13-25
-12
-6
L
-10
7
BAL logo
BAL
W
26-18
+8
-10
L
3
8
CLE logo
CLE@
W
34-20
+14
-7
W
43
9BYE WEEK
10
SEA logo
SEA@
W
39-32
+7
+3
W
9
11
CIN logo
CIN
W
34-31
+3
-4
L
-16
12
SF logo
SF@
W
19-13
+6
-8.5
L
-40
13
LAR logo
LAR@
W
27-03
+24
-3.5
W
23
14
MIN logo
MIN
W
23-20
+3
-10
L
-7
15
PHI logo
PHI@
W
40-17
+23
-3.5
W
11
16
GB logo
GB
W
38-08
+30
-6
W
31
17
SEA logo
SEA
L
06-36
-30
-6
L
-22
18BYE WEEK
19
GB logo
GB
W
26-20
+6
-7
L
-7
20
CAR logo
CAR@
L
15-49
-34
+3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.08
2nd
EPA / Pass
+0.18
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.06
11th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
11th
EPA / Pass
-0.05
8th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
4th
Sack EPA
-3.69
11th
Turnover EPA
-7.13
11th
Point Differential
+8.2
3rd
Points For
29.4
2nd
Points Against
21.2
13th
Total Yards
399.4
2nd
Passing Yards
259.9
2nd
Rushing Yards
112.2
12th
Total Yards Allowed
334.2
7th
Passing Allowed
229.0
27th
Rushing Allowed
97.1
8th

Conversions For

3rd Down
46%
4th
4th Down
58%
6th
Red Zone
60%
10th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
12th
4th Down
45%
12th
Red Zone
56%
15th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
27th
Created
1.9
2nd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
23rd
Created
1.2
4th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
28th
Created
0.8
8th