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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-7
nfelo Rating
158011th
Point Diff / Game
+3.312th
Net EPA / Play
+0.07310th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TEN logo
TEN@
W
38-13
+25
+2.5
W
31
2
MIN logo
MIN
W
34-33
+1
-3.5
L
3
3
JAX logo
JAX@
W
31-19
+12
-8
W
26
4
LAR logo
LAR@
W
37-20
+17
+3.5
W
25
5
SF logo
SF
W
17-10
+7
-5.5
W
8
6
CLE logo
CLE@
W
37-14
+23
+3
W
11
7
HOU logo
HOU
W
31-05
+26
-20.5
W
31
8
GB logo
GB
L
21-24
-3
-6.5
L
-105
9
SF logo
SF@
W
31-17
+14
+5.5
W
20
10
CAR logo
CAR
L
10-34
-24
-7
L
-54
11
SEA logo
SEA@
W
23-13
+10
+3
W
116
12BYE WEEK
13
CHI logo
CHI@
W
33-22
+11
-7.5
W
16
14
LAR logo
LAR
L
23-30
-7
-3
L
-10
15
DET logo
DET@
L
12-30
-18
-13
L
-21
16
IND logo
IND
L
16-22
-6
-3
L
-2
17
DAL logo
DAL@
W
25-22
+3
+6
W
14
18
SEA logo
SEA
L
30-38
-8
-5.5
L
-14
19
LAR logo
LAR@
L
11-34
-23
+4
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
12th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
9th
EPA / Pass
-0.00
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
5th
Sack EPA
-3.88
14th
Turnover EPA
-4.68
24th
Point Differential
+3.3
12th
Points For
25.6
10th
Points Against
22.2
16th
Total Yards
363.2
9th
Passing Yards
213.2
10th
Rushing Yards
118.7
14th
Total Yards Allowed
332.1
12th
Passing Allowed
190.5
10th
Rushing Allowed
116.2
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
8th
4th Down
58%
10th
Red Zone
61%
14th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
13th
4th Down
47%
9th
Red Zone
62%
22nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
4th
Created
1.6
7th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
10th
Created
0.7
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.2
1st
Created
0.8
2nd