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  4. 2025
ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-14
nfelo Rating
133528th
Point Diff / Game
-7.829th
Net EPA / Play
-0.14429th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NO logo
NO@
W
20-13
+7
-6
W
11
2
CAR logo
CAR
W
27-22
+5
-7
L
-18
3
SF logo
SF@
L
15-16
-1
+1.5
W
-4
4
SEA logo
SEA
L
20-23
-3
+1.5
L
-23
5
TEN logo
TEN
L
21-22
-1
-7.5
L
-90
6
IND logo
IND@
L
27-31
-4
+9
W
15
7
GB logo
GB
L
23-27
-4
+7
W
8
8BYE WEEK
9
DAL logo
DAL@
W
27-17
+10
+3.5
W
18
10
SEA logo
SEA@
L
22-44
-22
+7
L
-9
11
SF logo
SF
L
22-41
-19
+3.5
L
3
12
JAX logo
JAX
L
24-27
-3
+2.5
L
-32
13
TB logo
TB@
L
17-20
-3
+4
W
20
14
LAR logo
LAR
L
17-45
-28
+9.5
L
-19
15
HOU logo
HOU@
L
20-40
-20
+10.5
L
-5
16
ATL logo
ATL
L
19-26
-7
+2.5
L
-42
17
CIN logo
CIN@
L
14-37
-23
+7
L
-13
18
LAR logo
LAR@
L
20-37
-17
+14.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
25th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
26th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.12
28th
EPA / Pass
+0.16
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
20th
Sack EPA
-6.39
30th
Turnover EPA
-5.35
13th
Point Differential
-7.8
29th
Points For
20.9
22nd
Points Against
28.7
29th
Total Yards
325.9
19th
Passing Yards
206.2
6th
Rushing Yards
93.1
31st
Total Yards Allowed
357.7
26th
Passing Allowed
214.2
29th
Rushing Allowed
126.9
25th

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
8th
4th Down
43%
29th
Red Zone
54%
23rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
27th
4th Down
48%
7th
Red Zone
63%
27th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
16th
Created
1.1
19th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
12th
Created
0.6
20th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
22nd
Created
0.5
11th