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    • Games
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Carolina Panthers

NFC South

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1357
Week 5, 2025
Best nfelo
1630
Week 21, 2015
Worst nfelo
1270
Week 9, 2024

Season History

2025
1-3
PF: 18.8 |PA: 23.8
nfelo: 1358
Rank #28
2024
5-12
PF: 20.1 |PA: 31.4
nfelo: 1338
Rank #29
2023
2-15
PF: 13.9 |PA: 24.5
nfelo: 1318
Rank #32
2022
7-10
PF: 20.4 |PA: 22.0
nfelo: 1459
Rank #19
2021
5-12
PF: 17.9 |PA: 23.8
nfelo: 1345
Rank #28
2020
5-11
PF: 21.9 |PA: 25.1
nfelo: 1473
Rank #19
2019
5-11
PF: 21.3 |PA: 29.4
nfelo: 1381
Rank #25
2018
7-9
PF: 23.5 |PA: 23.9
nfelo: 1315
Rank #31
2017
11-6
PF: 22.9 |PA: 21.1
nfelo: 1531
Rank #12
2016
6-10
PF: 23.1 |PA: 25.1
nfelo: 1530
Rank #12
2015
17-2
PF: 31.1 |PA: 19.5
nfelo: 1667
Rank #1
2014
8-9-1
PF: 21.3 |PA: 23.4
nfelo: 1481
Rank #20
2013
12-5
PF: 22.1 |PA: 15.5
nfelo: 1582
Rank #8
2012
7-9
PF: 22.3 |PA: 22.7
nfelo: 1505
Rank #16
2011
6-10
PF: 25.4 |PA: 26.8
nfelo: 1513
Rank #17
2010
2-14
PF: 12.3 |PA: 25.5
nfelo: 1288
Rank #32
2009
8-8
PF: 19.7 |PA: 19.3
nfelo: 1525
Rank #17
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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