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  4. 2025
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

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Season Overview

Record
7-6
nfelo Rating
140724th
Point Diff / Game
-3.822nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.07622nd

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
JAX logo
JAX@
L
10-26
-16
+4.5
L
-16
2
ARI logo
ARI@
L
22-27
-5
+7
W
23
3
ATL logo
ATL
W
30-00
+30
+5.5
W
13
4
NE logo
NE@
L
13-42
-29
+5.5
L
-30
5
MIA logo
MIA
W
27-24
+3
+1.5
W
9
6
DAL logo
DAL
W
30-27
+3
+3
W
12
7
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
13-06
+7
+1.5
W
25
8
BUF logo
BUF
L
09-40
-31
+7
L
-11
9
GB logo
GB@
W
16-13
+3
+13
W
3
10
NO logo
NO
L
07-17
-10
-5.5
L
-16
11
ATL logo
ATL@
W
30-27
+3
+4
W
19
12
SF logo
SF@
L
09-20
-11
+7.5
L
-10
13
LAR logo
LAR
W
31-28
+3
+10
W
14
14BYE WEEK
15
NO logo
NO@
12/14
-
-2.5
-
-
16
TB logo
TB
12/21
-
-
-
17
SEA logo
SEA
12/28
-
-
-
18
TB logo
TB@
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
22nd
EPA / Pass
-0.06
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.01
17th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
25th
EPA / Pass
+0.11
27th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
24th
Sack EPA
-5.23
26th
Turnover EPA
-6.11
9th
Point Differential
-3.8
22nd
Points For
19.0
28th
Points Against
22.8
16th
Total Yards
311.3
23rd
Passing Yards
185.8
14th
Rushing Yards
125.5
10th
Total Yards Allowed
331.1
18th
Passing Allowed
131.2
1st
Rushing Allowed
118.7
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
22nd
4th Down
70%
5th
Red Zone
50%
25th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
44%
29th
4th Down
68%
28th
Red Zone
56%
13th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
17th
Created
1.3
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
18th
Created
0.9
7th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
20th
Created
0.4
21st