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  4. 2019
CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2019 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
147717th
Point Diff / Game
-3.622nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.06122nd

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TEN logo
TEN
L
13-43
-30
-5.5
L
-23
2
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
23-03
+20
-6.5
W
51
3
LAR logo
LAR
L
13-20
-7
+4.5
L
-16
4
BAL logo
BAL@
W
40-25
+15
+7
W
17
5
SF logo
SF@
L
03-31
-28
+5
L
-42
6
SEA logo
SEA
L
28-32
-4
-2
7BYE WEEK
8
NE logo
NE@
L
13-27
-14
+10
L
0
9
DEN logo
DEN@
L
19-24
-5
-4
L
-1
10
BUF logo
BUF
W
19-16
+3
-3
P
5
11
PIT logo
PIT
W
21-07
+14
-3
W
48
12
MIA logo
MIA
W
41-24
+17
-10.5
W
13
13
PIT logo
PIT@
L
13-20
-7
-1
L
-30
14
CIN logo
CIN
W
27-19
+8
-6.5
W
-7
15
ARI logo
ARI@
L
24-38
-14
-3
L
-8
16
BAL logo
BAL
L
15-31
-16
+10
L
-13
17
CIN logo
CIN@
L
23-33
-10
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
22nd
EPA / Pass
-0.04
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.06
12th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
20th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
15th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
29th
Sack EPA
-4.38
13th
Turnover EPA
-7.41
7th
Point Differential
-3.6
22nd
Points For
20.9
22nd
Points Against
24.6
20th
Total Yards
341.1
22nd
Passing Yards
206.6
14th
Rushing Yards
118.8
12th
Total Yards Allowed
361.7
21st
Passing Allowed
188.3
10th
Rushing Allowed
144.8
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
22nd
4th Down
41%
23rd
Red Zone
58%
14th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
12th
4th Down
35%
4th
Red Zone
61%
25th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.7
26th
Created
1.3
18th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
30th
Created
0.9
10th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
2nd
Created
0.4
25th