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  4. 2025
GB logo

Green Bay Packers

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

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Season Overview

Record
9-3-1
nfelo Rating
16304th
Point Diff / Game
+5.87th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1196th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET
W
27-13
+14
-1.5
W
32
2
WAS logo
WAS
W
27-18
+9
-3
W
12
3
CLE logo
CLE@
L
10-13
-3
-8.5
L
-16
4
DAL logo
DAL@
T
40-40
0
-6.5
L
12
5BYE WEEK
6
CIN logo
CIN
W
27-18
+9
-14
L
-3
7
ARI logo
ARI@
W
27-23
+4
-7
L
-6
8
PIT logo
PIT@
W
35-25
+10
-3
W
27
9
CAR logo
CAR
L
13-16
-3
-13
L
-13
10
PHI logo
PHI
L
07-10
-3
-1
L
-14
11
NYG logo
NYG@
W
27-20
+7
-7.5
L
9
12
MIN logo
MIN
W
23-06
+17
-6.5
W
4
13
DET logo
DET@
W
31-24
+7
+2.5
W
22
14
CHI logo
CHI
W
28-21
+7
-6.5
W
7
15
DEN logo
DEN@
12/14
-
-2.5
-
-
16
CHI logo
CHI@
12/19
-
-
-
17
BAL logo
BAL
12/28
-
-
-
18
MIN logo
MIN@
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.15
3rd
EPA / Pass
+0.29
1st
EPA / Rush
-0.01
16th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.03
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
14th
Sack EPA
-2.31
2nd
Turnover EPA
-2.24
32nd
Point Differential
+5.8
7th
Points For
24.8
10th
Points Against
19.0
6th
Total Yards
340.6
13th
Passing Yards
163.2
24th
Rushing Yards
117.2
19th
Total Yards Allowed
287.6
5th
Passing Allowed
171.8
10th
Rushing Allowed
101.5
9th

Conversions For

3rd Down
51%
1st
4th Down
71%
4th
Red Zone
68%
2nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
19th
4th Down
54%
15th
Red Zone
58%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.7
2nd
Created
0.8
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.3
1st
Created
0.5
21st

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
8th
Created
0.3
25th