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  4. 2025
GB logo

Green Bay Packers

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8-1
nfelo Rating
149315th
Point Diff / Game
+1.514th
Net EPA / Play
+0.04112th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET
W
27-13
+14
-1.5
W
32
2
WAS logo
WAS
W
27-18
+9
-3
W
12
3
CLE logo
CLE@
L
10-13
-3
-8.5
L
-16
4
DAL logo
DAL@
T
40-40
0
-6.5
L
12
5BYE WEEK
6
CIN logo
CIN
W
27-18
+9
-14
L
-3
7
ARI logo
ARI@
W
27-23
+4
-7
L
-5
8
PIT logo
PIT@
W
35-25
+10
-3
W
23
9
CAR logo
CAR
L
13-16
-3
-13
L
-13
10
PHI logo
PHI
L
07-10
-3
-1
L
-14
11
NYG logo
NYG@
W
27-20
+7
-7.5
L
12
12
MIN logo
MIN
W
23-06
+17
-6.5
W
3
13
DET logo
DET@
W
31-24
+7
+2.5
W
22
14
CHI logo
CHI
W
28-21
+7
-6.5
W
7
15
DEN logo
DEN@
L
26-34
-8
-1.5
L
-12
16
CHI logo
CHI@
L
16-22
-6
+1.5
L
-116
17
BAL logo
BAL
L
24-41
-17
-2.5
L
-63
18
MIN logo
MIN@
L
03-16
-13
+12.5
L
54
19
CHI logo
CHI@
L
27-31
-4
-2
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.12
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.25
1st
EPA / Rush
-0.03
20th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.08
24th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.03
16th
Sack EPA
-2.77
3rd
Turnover EPA
-2.83
32nd
Point Differential
+1.5
14th
Points For
23.2
14th
Points Against
21.7
11th
Total Yards
337.7
11th
Passing Yards
175.5
17th
Rushing Yards
118.7
15th
Total Yards Allowed
319.7
14th
Passing Allowed
162.3
8th
Rushing Allowed
116.4
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
48%
2nd
4th Down
61%
11th
Red Zone
59%
11th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
20th
4th Down
52%
11th
Red Zone
58%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.8
1st
Created
0.8
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
1st
Created
0.5
25th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
8th
Created
0.3
27th