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LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-5
nfelo Rating
16097th
Point Diff / Game
+5.17th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0967th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
KC logo
KC
L
28-38
-10
-3.5
L
-2
2
BUF logo
BUF@
W
31-20
+11
-7.5
W
90
3
LAR logo
LAR@
L
23-35
-12
+7
L
-31
4
SF logo
SF
W
29-27
+2
-10
L
-12
5
OAK logo
OAK
W
26-10
+16
-5.5
W
11
6
CLE logo
CLE@
W
38-14
+24
+1
W
6
7
TEN logo
TEN
W
20-19
+1
-6.5
L
-9
8BYE WEEK
9
SEA logo
SEA@
W
25-17
+8
+1
W
3
10
OAK logo
OAK@
W
20-06
+14
-10.5
W
3
11
DEN logo
DEN
L
22-23
-1
-7
L
-9
12
ARI logo
ARI
W
45-10
+35
-14
W
29
13
PIT logo
PIT@
W
33-30
+3
+3
W
10
14
CIN logo
CIN
W
26-21
+5
-16.5
L
-23
15
KC logo
KC@
W
29-28
+1
+3.5
W
-2
16
BAL logo
BAL
L
10-22
-12
-4
L
-37
17
DEN logo
DEN@
W
23-09
+14
-7
W
23
18
BAL logo
BAL@
W
23-17
+6
+2.5
W
15
19
NE logo
NE@
L
28-41
-13
+4
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
7th
EPA / Pass
+0.20
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.02
9th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
8th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
17th
Sack EPA
-3.30
7th
Turnover EPA
-4.54
26th
Point Differential
+5.1
7th
Points For
26.6
6th
Points Against
21.5
11th
Total Yards
364.2
13th
Passing Yards
254.1
5th
Rushing Yards
110.2
18th
Total Yards Allowed
335.4
10th
Passing Allowed
196.7
8th
Rushing Allowed
107.7
10th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
16th
4th Down
90%
1st
Red Zone
63%
9th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
19th
4th Down
61%
23rd
Red Zone
53%
9th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
7th
Created
1.4
14th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
11th
Created
0.8
18th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
7th
Created
0.7
7th