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LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2020 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
143524th
Point Diff / Game
-2.620th
Net EPA / Play
-0.05020th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CIN logo
CIN@
W
16-13
+3
-2.5
W
1
2
KC logo
KC
L
20-23
-3
+9
W
15
3
CAR logo
CAR
L
16-21
-5
-6
L
-4
4
TB logo
TB@
L
31-38
-7
+7.5
W
-7
5
NO logo
NO@
L
27-30
-3
+7
W
7
6BYE WEEK
7
JAX logo
JAX
W
39-29
+10
-7.5
W
24
8
DEN logo
DEN@
L
30-31
-1
-3
L
-5
9
OAK logo
OAK
L
26-31
-5
+1
L
-14
10
MIA logo
MIA@
L
21-29
-8
+1.5
L
-44
11
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
34-28
+6
-9.5
L
2
12
BUF logo
BUF@
L
17-27
-10
+4.5
L
-17
13
NE logo
NE
L
00-45
-45
-1.5
L
-30
14
ATL logo
ATL
W
20-17
+3
-1
W
16
15
OAK logo
OAK@
W
30-27
+3
+3.5
W
13
16
DEN logo
DEN
W
19-16
+3
-2.5
W
-1
17
KC logo
KC@
W
38-21
+17
-6.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
23rd
EPA / Pass
+0.13
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
31st
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
13th
Sack EPA
-3.41
11th
Turnover EPA
-3.52
30th
Point Differential
-2.6
20th
Points For
24.0
18th
Points Against
26.6
23rd
Total Yards
382.3
10th
Passing Yards
270.8
2nd
Rushing Yards
111.5
18th
Total Yards Allowed
343.8
10th
Passing Allowed
190.3
10th
Rushing Allowed
119.9
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
10th
4th Down
48%
25th
Red Zone
56%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
44%
22nd
4th Down
67%
26th
Red Zone
57%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
5th
Created
1.2
22nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
7th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
8th
Created
0.4
24th