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LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
155011th
Point Diff / Game
-1.921st
Net EPA / Play
-0.04424th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIN logo
MIN
L
06-34
-28
-3
L
-138
2
TB logo
TB@
W
19-17
+2
+4.5
W
39
3
DAL logo
DAL
L
31-34
-3
+2
L
12
4BYE WEEK
5
PHI logo
PHI@
L
28-34
-6
+4
L
25
6
SF logo
SF
L
17-31
-14
+3.5
L
-11
7
SEA logo
SEA
W
28-26
+2
+7
W
21
8
KC logo
KC@
L
07-34
-27
+7
L
-17
9
SF logo
SF@
W
13-10
+3
+10.5
W
10
10
ARI logo
ARI@
L
14-31
-17
+7
L
65
11
DEN logo
DEN
W
22-07
+15
+9
W
12
12
LAC logo
LAC@
L
24-27
-3
+5
W
-5
13
OAK logo
OAK
W
52-00
+52
-6
W
18
14
WAS logo
WAS@
W
24-00
+24
-3
W
41
15
ARI logo
ARI
L
06-12
-6
-6
L
-14
16
NYG logo
NYG
L
27-37
-10
-6.5
L
-4
17
SEA logo
SEA@
L
06-20
-14
+11.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.14
28th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
29th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.09
6th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
4th
Sack EPA
-5.92
30th
Turnover EPA
-8.92
2nd
Point Differential
-1.9
21st
Points For
20.3
21st
Points Against
22.1
16th
Total Yards
314.8
27th
Passing Yards
181.4
25th
Rushing Yards
102.2
20th
Total Yards Allowed
351.6
18th
Passing Allowed
182.8
9th
Rushing Allowed
110.3
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
27th
4th Down
40%
22nd
Red Zone
50%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
15th
4th Down
--
1st
Red Zone
46%
5th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
25th
Created
1.5
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
19th
Created
0.8
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
22nd
Created
0.7
10th