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  4. 2023
LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
15928th
Point Diff / Game
+1.412th
Net EPA / Play
+0.03112th

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SEA logo
SEA@
W
30-13
+17
+4.5
W
16
2
SF logo
SF
L
23-30
-7
+7
P
-12
3
CIN logo
CIN@
L
16-19
-3
+3
P
-8
4
IND logo
IND@
W
29-23
+6
-1.5
W
25
5
PHI logo
PHI
L
14-23
-9
+3.5
L
-17
6
ARI logo
ARI
W
26-09
+17
-7.5
W
16
7
PIT logo
PIT
L
17-24
-7
-3.5
L
-12
8
DAL logo
DAL@
L
20-43
-23
+7
L
-99
9
GB logo
GB@
L
03-20
-17
+4
L
82
10BYE WEEK
11
SEA logo
SEA
W
17-16
+1
-2.5
L
-3
12
ARI logo
ARI@
W
37-14
+23
-2.5
W
38
13
CLE logo
CLE
W
36-19
+17
-3.5
W
37
14
BAL logo
BAL@
L
31-37
-6
+7.5
W
14
15
WAS logo
WAS
W
28-20
+8
-6.5
W
2
16
NO logo
NO
W
30-22
+8
-4
W
12
17
NYG logo
NYG@
W
26-25
+1
-6.5
L
-61
18
SF logo
SF@
W
21-20
+1
+5.5
W
83
19
DET logo
DET@
L
23-24
-1
+3.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
7th
EPA / Rush
+0.00
8th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.01
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
22nd
Sack EPA
-3.57
8th
Turnover EPA
-4.37
23rd
Point Differential
+1.4
12th
Points For
23.7
9th
Points Against
22.3
18th
Total Yards
363.4
7th
Passing Yards
199.1
12th
Rushing Yards
117.5
12th
Total Yards Allowed
338.2
18th
Passing Allowed
232.8
29th
Rushing Allowed
105.4
13th

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
7th
4th Down
64%
5th
Red Zone
60%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
16th
4th Down
55%
24th
Red Zone
57%
20th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
3rd
Created
0.9
31st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
18th
Created
0.6
24th

Fumbles

Lost
0.2
3rd
Created
0.3
30th