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Miami Dolphins

2022 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-9
nfelo Rating
141423rd
Point Diff / Game
-0.313th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00811th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE
W
20-07
+13
-3.5
W
38
2
BAL logo
BAL@
W
42-38
+4
+3
W
28
3
BUF logo
BUF
W
21-19
+2
+4
W
8
4
CIN logo
CIN@
L
15-27
-12
+4
L
-57
5
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
17-40
-23
-3
L
-144
6
MIN logo
MIN
L
16-24
-8
+3
L
161
7
PIT logo
PIT
W
16-10
+6
-7.5
L
-5
8
DET logo
DET@
W
31-27
+4
-3.5
W
15
9
CHI logo
CHI@
W
35-32
+3
-4
L
5
10
CLE logo
CLE
W
39-17
+22
-3
W
19
11BYE WEEK
12
HOU logo
HOU
W
30-15
+15
-14
W
2
13
SF logo
SF@
L
17-33
-16
+5
L
-22
14
LAC logo
LAC@
L
17-23
-6
-3
L
-17
15
BUF logo
BUF@
L
29-32
-3
+7
W
7
16
GB logo
GB
L
20-26
-6
-3.5
L
-75
17
NE logo
NE@
L
21-23
-2
+3
W
-94
18
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
11-06
+5
-3.5
W
58
19
BUF logo
BUF@
L
31-34
-3
+14
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
8th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
20th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.00
22nd
EPA / Pass
+0.01
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
15th
Sack EPA
-4.03
16th
Turnover EPA
-5.51
15th
Point Differential
-0.3
13th
Points For
23.8
11th
Points Against
24.1
24th
Total Yards
357.2
9th
Passing Yards
229.9
4th
Rushing Yards
96.0
27th
Total Yards Allowed
342.9
19th
Passing Allowed
213.6
24th
Rushing Allowed
103.3
4th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
24th
4th Down
54%
11th
Red Zone
59%
10th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
26th
4th Down
47%
13th
Red Zone
60%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
16th
Created
0.9
28th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
26th
Created
0.6
27th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
5th
Created
0.4
27th