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NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-4
nfelo Rating
16405th
Point Diff / Game
+8.62nd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1582nd

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TB logo
TB
L
40-48
-8
-10
L
2
2
CLE logo
CLE
W
21-18
+3
-9.5
L
-17
3
ATL logo
ATL@
W
43-37
+6
+1.5
W
27
4
NYG logo
NYG@
W
33-18
+15
-3
W
-6
5
WAS logo
WAS
W
43-19
+24
-6
W
18
6BYE WEEK
7
BAL logo
BAL@
W
24-23
+1
+2.5
W
0
8
MIN logo
MIN@
W
30-20
+10
-2.5
W
28
9
LAR logo
LAR
W
45-35
+10
+2
W
13
10
CIN logo
CIN@
W
51-14
+37
-6
W
42
11
PHI logo
PHI
W
48-07
+41
-7
W
18
12
ATL logo
ATL
W
31-17
+14
-12.5
W
5
13
DAL logo
DAL@
L
10-13
-3
-7.5
L
-24
14
TB logo
TB@
W
28-14
+14
-9.5
W
11
15
CAR logo
CAR@
W
12-09
+3
-6
L
-21
16
PIT logo
PIT
W
31-28
+3
-6.5
L
-149
17
CAR logo
CAR
L
14-33
-19
-7.5
L
93
18BYE WEEK
19
PHI logo
PHI
W
20-14
+6
-8.5
L
-10
20
LAR logo
LAR
L
23-26
-3
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.13
2nd
EPA / Pass
+0.23
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.03
13th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.14
3rd
Sack EPA
-2.00
1st
Turnover EPA
-4.78
23rd
Point Differential
+8.6
2nd
Points For
30.4
3rd
Points Against
21.8
14th
Total Yards
376.9
8th
Passing Yards
190.1
21st
Rushing Yards
123.1
9th
Total Yards Allowed
345.7
12th
Passing Allowed
211.3
17th
Rushing Allowed
78.3
2nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
4th
4th Down
83%
2nd
Red Zone
68%
4th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
23rd
4th Down
50%
7th
Red Zone
63%
23rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
3rd
Created
1.5
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
4th
Created
0.8
15th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
13th
Created
0.7
7th