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  4. 2011
NYG logo

New York Giants

2011 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-7
nfelo Rating
16555th
Point Diff / Game
+2.010th
Net EPA / Play
+0.03410th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS@
L
14-28
-14
-1.5
L
-26
2
LAR logo
LAR
W
28-16
+12
-7
W
2
3
PHI logo
PHI@
W
29-16
+13
+8
W
18
4
ARI logo
ARI@
W
31-27
+4
-1.5
W
12
5
SEA logo
SEA
L
25-36
-11
-10
L
-21
6
BUF logo
BUF
W
27-24
+3
-3
P
-3
7BYE WEEK
8
MIA logo
MIA
W
20-17
+3
-9.5
L
-5
9
NE logo
NE@
W
24-20
+4
+9.5
W
8
10
SF logo
SF@
L
20-27
-7
+4
L
4
11
PHI logo
PHI
L
10-17
-7
-6
L
-17
12
NO logo
NO@
L
24-49
-25
+7
L
-2
13
GB logo
GB
L
35-38
-3
+7
W
9
14
DAL logo
DAL@
W
37-34
+3
+4.5
W
11
15
WAS logo
WAS
L
10-23
-13
-6
L
-34
16
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
29-14
+15
+3
W
27
17
DAL logo
DAL
W
31-14
+17
-3
W
21
18
ATL logo
ATL
W
24-02
+22
-3
W
23
19
GB logo
GB@
W
37-20
+17
+8.5
W
52
20
SF logo
SF@
W
20-17
+3
+2
W
7
21
NE logo
NE@
W
21-17
+4
+3
W
-13

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.08
5th
EPA / Pass
+0.17
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
26th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.05
24th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
26th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
17th
Sack EPA
-3.68
16th
Turnover EPA
-4.58
29th
Point Differential
+2.0
10th
Points For
24.8
7th
Points Against
22.8
20th
Total Yards
388.9
8th
Passing Yards
246.8
3rd
Rushing Yards
95.0
29th
Total Yards Allowed
365.7
22nd
Passing Allowed
229.0
27th
Rushing Allowed
118.1
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
12th
4th Down
33%
25th
Red Zone
55%
9th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
16th
4th Down
48%
20th
Red Zone
55%
21st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
10th
Created
1.8
11th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
12th
Created
1.1
14th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
16th
Created
0.7
11th