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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2012 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
143424th
Point Diff / Game
-5.926th
Net EPA / Play
-0.10126th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BUF logo
BUF
W
48-28
+20
-3
W
20
2
PIT logo
PIT@
L
10-27
-17
+4.5
L
-20
3
MIA logo
MIA@
W
23-20
+3
-2.5
W
-1
4
SF logo
SF
L
00-34
-34
+4
L
-106
5
HOU logo
HOU
L
17-23
-6
+9.5
W
0
6
IND logo
IND
W
35-09
+26
-3.5
W
14
7
NE logo
NE@
L
26-29
-3
+11
W
12
8
MIA logo
MIA
L
09-30
-21
-1
L
-13
9BYE WEEK
10
SEA logo
SEA@
L
07-28
-21
+5
L
-29
11
LAR logo
LAR@
W
27-13
+14
+3.5
W
14
12
NE logo
NE
L
19-49
-30
+7
L
-5
13
ARI logo
ARI
W
07-06
+1
-6.5
L
-17
14
JAX logo
JAX@
W
17-10
+7
-3
W
36
15
TEN logo
TEN@
L
10-14
-4
-1
L
-12
16
LAC logo
LAC
L
17-27
-10
-3
L
-1
17
BUF logo
BUF@
L
09-28
-19
+3.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.12
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.22
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
15th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
12th
Sack EPA
-5.71
30th
Turnover EPA
-9.85
3rd
Point Differential
-5.9
26th
Points For
17.6
28th
Points Against
23.4
20th
Total Yards
299.2
30th
Passing Yards
164.1
27th
Rushing Yards
118.5
12th
Total Yards Allowed
323.4
6th
Passing Allowed
118.0
1st
Rushing Allowed
133.6
26th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
21st
4th Down
50%
17th
Red Zone
49%
25th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
12th
4th Down
80%
31st
Red Zone
59%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.2
30th
Created
1.6
14th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.2
28th
Created
0.7
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
1.0
28th
Created
0.9
5th