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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2017 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-11
nfelo Rating
129931st
Point Diff / Game
-5.326th
Net EPA / Play
-0.09427th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BUF logo
BUF@
L
12-21
-9
+7.5
L
-22
2
OAK logo
OAK@
L
20-45
-25
+14
L
-26
3
MIA logo
MIA
W
20-06
+14
+5.5
W
15
4
JAX logo
JAX
W
23-20
+3
+4
W
2
5
CLE logo
CLE@
W
17-14
+3
-1.5
W
23
6
NE logo
NE
L
17-24
-7
+9.5
W
10
7
MIA logo
MIA@
L
28-31
-3
+3
P
5
8
ATL logo
ATL
L
20-25
-5
+6.5
W
-1
9
BUF logo
BUF
W
34-21
+13
+3.5
W
14
10
TB logo
TB@
L
10-15
-5
+1
L
-13
11BYE WEEK
12
CAR logo
CAR
L
27-35
-8
+6
L
2
13
KC logo
KC
W
38-31
+7
+4
W
24
14
DEN logo
DEN@
L
00-23
-23
-1
L
-132
15
NO logo
NO@
L
19-31
-12
+16
W
8
16
LAC logo
LAC
L
07-14
-7
+7
P
-3
17
NE logo
NE@
L
06-26
-20
+16
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.10
23rd
EPA / Pass
-0.06
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
23rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
22nd
EPA / Pass
+0.06
22nd
EPA / Rush
-0.11
9th
Sack EPA
-5.18
25th
Turnover EPA
-5.40
20th
Point Differential
-5.3
26th
Points For
18.6
23rd
Points Against
23.9
22nd
Total Yards
305.4
28th
Passing Yards
178.2
22nd
Rushing Yards
106.5
19th
Total Yards Allowed
352.4
26th
Passing Allowed
168.2
5th
Rushing Allowed
118.1
24th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
24th
4th Down
54%
8th
Red Zone
56%
10th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
10th
4th Down
45%
14th
Red Zone
56%
21st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
18th
Created
1.4
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
13th
Created
0.7
18th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
23rd
Created
0.7
8th