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OAK logo

Las Vegas Raiders

2017 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
141025th
Point Diff / Game
-4.525th
Net EPA / Play
-0.09326th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TEN logo
TEN@
W
26-16
+10
+2.5
W
12
2
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
45-20
+25
-14
W
38
3
WAS logo
WAS@
L
10-27
-17
-3.5
L
-27
4
DEN logo
DEN@
L
10-16
-6
+3.5
L
-119
5
BAL logo
BAL
L
17-30
-13
-3
L
74
6
LAC logo
LAC
L
16-17
-1
-3
L
-11
7
KC logo
KC
W
31-30
+1
+3
W
18
8
BUF logo
BUF@
L
14-34
-20
+2
L
-12
9
MIA logo
MIA@
W
27-24
+3
-3
P
-1
10BYE WEEK
11
NE logo
NE
L
08-33
-25
+7
L
-39
12
DEN logo
DEN
W
21-14
+7
-4
W
12
13
NYG logo
NYG
W
24-17
+7
-9.5
L
-5
14
KC logo
KC@
L
15-26
-11
+4.5
L
-17
15
DAL logo
DAL
L
17-20
-3
+3
P
-34
16
PHI logo
PHI@
L
10-19
-9
+10
W
-12
17
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-30
-20
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.04
15th
EPA / Pass
-0.02
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
22nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.05
31st
EPA / Pass
+0.16
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.06
22nd
Sack EPA
-2.68
3rd
Turnover EPA
-6.15
13th
Point Differential
-4.5
25th
Points For
18.8
22nd
Points Against
23.3
20th
Total Yards
324.3
18th
Passing Yards
156.5
30th
Rushing Yards
97.1
25th
Total Yards Allowed
350.2
24th
Passing Allowed
216.9
23rd
Rushing Allowed
109.1
11th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
11th
4th Down
33%
27th
Red Zone
59%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
25th
4th Down
70%
30th
Red Zone
48%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
27th
Created
0.8
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
20th
Created
0.3
32nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
31st
Created
0.5
18th