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OAK logo

Las Vegas Raiders

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
134630th
Point Diff / Game
-11.131st
Net EPA / Play
-0.20331st

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAR logo
LAR
L
13-33
-20
+6.5
L
-52
2
DEN logo
DEN@
L
19-20
-1
+6
W
16
3
MIA logo
MIA@
L
20-28
-8
+3
L
-4
4
CLE logo
CLE
W
45-42
+3
-2.5
W
8
5
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-26
-16
+5.5
L
-8
6
SEA logo
SEA
L
03-27
-24
+3
L
-18
7BYE WEEK
8
IND logo
IND
L
28-42
-14
+3.5
L
-44
9
SF logo
SF@
L
03-34
-31
-1.5
L
-25
10
LAC logo
LAC
L
06-20
-14
+10.5
L
-11
11
ARI logo
ARI@
W
23-21
+2
+4.5
W
12
12
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-34
-17
+13
L
-15
13
KC logo
KC
L
33-40
-7
+14
W
31
14
PIT logo
PIT
W
24-21
+3
+10
W
14
15
CIN logo
CIN@
L
16-30
-14
+3
L
-16
16
DEN logo
DEN
W
27-14
+13
+2.5
W
12
17
KC logo
KC@
L
03-35
-32
+14
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.09
26th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.13
29th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.11
32nd
EPA / Pass
+0.23
32nd
EPA / Rush
+0.04
30th
Sack EPA
-6.08
29th
Turnover EPA
-8.06
5th
Point Differential
-11.1
31st
Points For
18.1
28th
Points Against
29.2
32nd
Total Yards
336.3
23rd
Passing Yards
219.3
12th
Rushing Yards
101.8
25th
Total Yards Allowed
381.8
26th
Passing Allowed
171.7
6th
Rushing Allowed
140.8
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
19th
4th Down
44%
28th
Red Zone
53%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
46%
30th
4th Down
67%
28th
Red Zone
60%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
22nd
Created
1.1
25th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
8th
Created
0.9
14th

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
31st
Created
0.2
31st