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OAK logo

Las Vegas Raiders

2019 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
141024th
Point Diff / Game
-6.627th
Net EPA / Play
-0.13028th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN
W
24-16
+8
-1.5
W
25
2
KC logo
KC
L
10-28
-18
+7
L
-20
3
MIN logo
MIN@
L
14-34
-20
+9
L
-7
4
IND logo
IND@
W
31-24
+7
+5.5
W
52
5
CHI logo
CHI
W
24-21
+3
+6.5
W
13
6BYE WEEK
7
GB logo
GB@
L
24-42
-18
+6
L
-6
8
HOU logo
HOU@
L
24-27
-3
+5.5
W
15
9
DET logo
DET
W
31-24
+7
-2.5
W
7
10
LAC logo
LAC
W
26-24
+2
+1.5
W
1
11
CIN logo
CIN
W
17-10
+7
-13
L
-6
12
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
03-34
-31
-3.5
L
-22
13
KC logo
KC@
L
09-40
-31
+11
L
-36
14
TEN logo
TEN
L
21-42
-21
+3
L
-5
15
JAX logo
JAX
L
16-20
-4
-7
L
-11
16
LAC logo
LAC@
W
24-17
+7
+7.5
W
17
17
DEN logo
DEN@
L
15-16
-1
+4.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
21st
Def. EPA / Play
+0.12
31st
EPA / Pass
+0.23
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.07
18th
Sack EPA
-2.87
3rd
Turnover EPA
-5.68
15th
Point Differential
-6.6
27th
Points For
19.6
24th
Points Against
26.2
24th
Total Yards
363.7
12th
Passing Yards
176.5
24th
Rushing Yards
118.3
13th
Total Yards Allowed
354.8
19th
Passing Allowed
204.8
16th
Rushing Allowed
98.1
6th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
7th
4th Down
58%
7th
Red Zone
53%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
26th
4th Down
69%
32nd
Red Zone
67%
31st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
6th
Created
0.9
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
7th
Created
0.6
29th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
18th
Created
0.3
30th