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OAK logo

Las Vegas Raiders

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-11
nfelo Rating
143022nd
Point Diff / Game
-1.421st
Net EPA / Play
-0.02217th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAC logo
LAC@
L
19-24
-5
+3.5
L
-10
2
ARI logo
ARI
L
23-29
-6
-5.5
L
-4
3
TEN logo
TEN@
L
22-24
-2
-2
L
10
4
DEN logo
DEN
W
32-23
+9
-2.5
W
19
5
KC logo
KC@
L
29-30
-1
+7
W
8
6BYE WEEK
7
HOU logo
HOU
W
38-20
+18
-7
W
13
8
NO logo
NO@
L
00-24
-24
-1
L
-23
9
JAX logo
JAX@
L
20-27
-7
-2.5
L
-5
10
IND logo
IND
L
20-25
-5
-4
L
-5
11
DEN logo
DEN@
W
22-16
+6
+2.5
W
14
12
SEA logo
SEA@
W
40-34
+6
+4
W
13
13
LAC logo
LAC
W
27-20
+7
-2.5
W
5
14
LAR logo
LAR@
L
16-17
-1
-5.5
L
-14
15
NE logo
NE
W
30-24
+6
-1
W
1
16
PIT logo
PIT@
L
10-13
-3
+2.5
L
-111
17
SF logo
SF
L
34-37
-3
+10
W
25
18
KC logo
KC
L
13-31
-18
+9
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.00
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
13th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
25th
EPA / Pass
+0.11
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
19th
Sack EPA
-3.35
8th
Turnover EPA
-5.72
8th
Point Differential
-1.4
21st
Points For
23.2
13th
Points Against
24.6
26th
Total Yards
352.5
12th
Passing Yards
187.2
15th
Rushing Yards
121.1
17th
Total Yards Allowed
366.0
27th
Passing Allowed
161.5
5th
Rushing Allowed
122.9
19th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
16th
4th Down
54%
9th
Red Zone
49%
26th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
42%
25th
4th Down
55%
20th
Red Zone
66%
31st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
14th
Created
0.8
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
28th
Created
0.4
31st

Fumbles

Lost
0.2
1st
Created
0.4
25th