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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2014 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-6
nfelo Rating
155710th
Point Diff / Game
+4.67th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0749th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
JAX logo
JAX
W
34-17
+17
-10
W
2
2
IND logo
IND@
W
30-27
+3
+3
W
10
3
WAS logo
WAS
W
37-34
+3
-4
L
-21
4
SF logo
SF@
L
21-26
-5
+4
L
-12
5
LAR logo
LAR
W
34-28
+6
-4
W
-8
6
NYG logo
NYG
W
27-00
+27
-1.5
W
11
7BYE WEEK
8
ARI logo
ARI@
L
20-24
-4
-1
L
5
9
HOU logo
HOU@
W
31-21
+10
-2
W
-137
10
CAR logo
CAR
W
45-21
+24
-7
W
91
11
GB logo
GB@
L
20-53
-33
+6
L
0
12
TEN logo
TEN
W
43-24
+19
-11
W
35
13
DAL logo
DAL@
W
33-10
+23
+3.5
W
28
14
SEA logo
SEA
L
14-24
-10
+2
L
-7
15
DAL logo
DAL
L
27-38
-11
-3.5
L
-12
16
WAS logo
WAS@
L
24-27
-3
-7
L
11
17
NYG logo
NYG@
W
34-26
+8
+1
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.02
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
21st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.09
7th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.14
5th
Sack EPA
-3.45
10th
Turnover EPA
-9.72
1st
Point Differential
+4.6
7th
Points For
29.6
3rd
Points Against
25.0
22nd
Total Yards
396.8
4th
Passing Yards
192.6
19th
Rushing Yards
124.5
8th
Total Yards Allowed
375.6
28th
Passing Allowed
180.1
7th
Rushing Allowed
110.7
15th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
8th
4th Down
64%
2nd
Red Zone
48%
24th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
12th
4th Down
25%
4th
Red Zone
57%
20th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.2
32nd
Created
1.8
6th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
32nd
Created
0.8
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
31st
Created
1.1
1st