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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2018 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
155612th
Point Diff / Game
+0.813th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01012th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ATL logo
ATL
W
18-12
+6
-7
2
TB logo
TB@
L
21-27
-6
-3
L
65
3
IND logo
IND
W
20-16
+4
-6.5
L
-53
4
TEN logo
TEN@
L
23-26
-3
-3
L
-6
5
MIN logo
MIN
L
21-23
-2
-3.5
L
-4
6
NYG logo
NYG@
W
34-13
+21
-2
W
16
7
CAR logo
CAR
L
17-21
-4
-5
L
-19
8
JAX logo
JAX@
W
24-18
+6
-4
W
6
9BYE WEEK
10
DAL logo
DAL
L
20-27
-7
-7.5
L
-10
11
NO logo
NO@
L
07-48
-41
+7
L
-34
12
NYG logo
NYG
W
25-22
+3
-5
L
-18
13
WAS logo
WAS
W
28-13
+15
-5.5
W
11
14
DAL logo
DAL@
L
23-29
-6
+3.5
L
-68
15
LAR logo
LAR@
W
30-23
+7
+13.5
W
17
16
HOU logo
HOU
W
32-30
+2
-2
P
17
17
WAS logo
WAS@
W
24-00
+24
-6
W
31
18
CHI logo
CHI@
W
16-15
+1
+6.5
W
19
19
NO logo
NO@
L
14-20
-6
+8.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
22nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
22nd
EPA / Pass
+0.06
22nd
EPA / Rush
-0.02
20th
Sack EPA
-5.00
20th
Turnover EPA
-6.58
12th
Point Differential
+0.8
13th
Points For
22.1
20th
Points Against
21.3
9th
Total Yards
355.8
17th
Passing Yards
219.8
11th
Rushing Yards
92.7
30th
Total Yards Allowed
368.7
23rd
Passing Allowed
250.6
29th
Rushing Allowed
97.4
6th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
12th
4th Down
58%
16th
Red Zone
58%
17th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
8th
4th Down
59%
20th
Red Zone
44%
1st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
22nd
Created
1.0
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
21st
Created
0.6
25th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
24th
Created
0.4
25th