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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-11-1
nfelo Rating
143225th
Point Diff / Game
-5.327th
Net EPA / Play
-0.09927th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS@
L
17-27
-10
-5.5
L
-30
2
LAR logo
LAR
L
19-37
-18
-1.5
L
-10
3
CIN logo
CIN
T
23-23
0
-5.5
L
-5
4
SF logo
SF@
W
25-20
+5
+8
W
5
5
PIT logo
PIT@
L
29-38
-9
+7.5
L
-21
6
BAL logo
BAL
L
28-30
-2
+10
W
10
7
NYG logo
NYG
W
22-21
+1
-5
L
1
8
DAL logo
DAL
W
23-09
+14
-10
W
1
9BYE WEEK
10
NYG logo
NYG@
L
17-27
-10
-4.5
L
-13
11
CLE logo
CLE@
L
17-22
-5
+2.5
L
-10
12
SEA logo
SEA
L
17-23
-6
+6.5
W
-13
13
GB logo
GB@
L
16-30
-14
+8.5
L
-4
14
NO logo
NO
W
24-21
+3
+7.5
W
21
15
ARI logo
ARI@
L
26-33
-7
+6
L
-10
16
DAL logo
DAL@
L
17-37
-20
-3
L
-11
17
WAS logo
WAS
L
14-20
-6
+6.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.08
29th
EPA / Pass
-0.15
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.02
14th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
14th
Sack EPA
-6.40
32nd
Turnover EPA
-7.61
5th
Point Differential
-5.3
27th
Points For
20.9
26th
Points Against
26.1
20th
Total Yards
335.5
25th
Passing Yards
183.0
23rd
Rushing Yards
126.9
10th
Total Yards Allowed
363.1
17th
Passing Allowed
237.4
29th
Rushing Allowed
125.8
22nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
28th
4th Down
43%
26th
Red Zone
61%
13th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
8th
4th Down
39%
3rd
Red Zone
65%
28th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
31st
Created
1.1
25th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
31st
Created
0.5
29th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
23rd
Created
0.6
6th