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  4. 2023
PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-7
nfelo Rating
154611th
Point Diff / Game
-1.016th
Net EPA / Play
-0.00916th

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE@
W
25-20
+5
-3.5
W
2
2
MIN logo
MIN
W
34-28
+6
-6
P
-8
3
TB logo
TB@
W
25-11
+14
-5.5
W
10
4
WAS logo
WAS
W
34-31
+3
-9
L
-3
5
LAR logo
LAR@
W
23-14
+9
-3.5
W
20
6
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
14-20
-6
-6.5
L
-12
7
MIA logo
MIA
W
31-17
+14
-3
W
20
8
WAS logo
WAS@
W
38-31
+7
-7
P
10
9
DAL logo
DAL
W
28-23
+5
-3
W
7
10BYE WEEK
11
KC logo
KC@
W
21-17
+4
+2.5
W
-3
12
BUF logo
BUF
W
37-34
+3
-2.5
W
3
13
SF logo
SF
L
19-42
-23
+3
L
-24
14
DAL logo
DAL@
L
13-33
-20
+3.5
L
-13
15
SEA logo
SEA@
L
17-20
-3
-5.5
L
-9
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
33-25
+8
-14
L
-3
17
ARI logo
ARI
L
31-35
-4
-11.5
L
-20
18
NYG logo
NYG@
L
10-27
-17
-5
L
-41
19
TB logo
TB@
L
09-32
-23
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
7th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
10th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
6th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
30th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
29th
EPA / Rush
+0.04
32nd
Sack EPA
-3.28
6th
Turnover EPA
-6.93
8th
Point Differential
-1.0
16th
Points For
24.6
7th
Points Against
25.6
30th
Total Yards
350.1
9th
Passing Yards
207.8
10th
Rushing Yards
124.1
9th
Total Yards Allowed
360.4
26th
Passing Allowed
255.9
32nd
Rushing Allowed
104.4
11th

Conversions For

3rd Down
46%
5th
4th Down
68%
1st
Red Zone
60%
9th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
46%
30th
4th Down
56%
25th
Red Zone
65%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
25th
Created
0.9
27th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
24th
Created
0.5
26th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
25th
Created
0.4
24th