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TB logo

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
15-5
nfelo Rating
16805th
Point Diff / Game
+9.11st
Net EPA / Play
+0.1692nd

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NO logo
NO@
L
23-34
-11
+4
L
-3
2
CAR logo
CAR
W
31-17
+14
-8.5
W
41
3
DEN logo
DEN@
W
28-10
+18
-6
W
30
4
LAC logo
LAC
W
38-31
+7
-7.5
L
26
5
CHI logo
CHI@
L
19-20
-1
-3.5
L
-7
6
GB logo
GB
W
38-10
+28
+2.5
W
14
7
OAK logo
OAK@
W
45-20
+25
-4
W
27
8
NYG logo
NYG@
W
25-23
+2
-12.5
L
-9
9
NO logo
NO
L
03-38
-35
-3.5
L
-31
10
CAR logo
CAR@
W
46-23
+23
-6.5
W
32
11
LAR logo
LAR
L
24-27
-3
-4
L
-15
12
KC logo
KC
L
24-27
-3
+3.5
W
4
13BYE WEEK
14
MIN logo
MIN
W
26-14
+12
-7
W
25
15
ATL logo
ATL@
W
31-27
+4
-6
L
-15
16
DET logo
DET@
W
47-07
+40
-12
W
38
17
ATL logo
ATL
W
44-27
+17
-7
W
11
18
WAS logo
WAS@
W
31-23
+8
-8
P
-30
19
NO logo
NO@
W
30-20
+10
+2.5
W
27
20
GB logo
GB@
W
31-26
+5
+3
W
2
21
KC logo
KC
W
31-09
+22
+3
W
22

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.12
5th
EPA / Pass
+0.21
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
21st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.05
6th
EPA / Pass
-0.05
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
8th
Sack EPA
-2.23
3rd
Turnover EPA
-4.99
22nd
Point Differential
+9.1
1st
Points For
30.8
2nd
Points Against
21.6
7th
Total Yards
382.9
9th
Passing Yards
216.7
12th
Rushing Yards
100.5
25th
Total Yards Allowed
331.8
8th
Passing Allowed
220.8
21st
Rushing Allowed
82.7
1st

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
9th
4th Down
59%
13th
Red Zone
63%
11th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
17th
4th Down
52%
13th
Red Zone
59%
11th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
8th
Created
1.7
2nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
15th
Created
1.1
3rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
4th
Created
0.6
10th